Churchill Downs Picks- 2024 Kentucky Jockey Club Analysis

The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

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Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #9 SYCAMORE SHOALS (7-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
• #4 STAY CLASSY (5-1): Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.
• #5 BANKING SILVER (8-1): Worth a look. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Previous success in similar race types.
• #7 GOING STEADY (8-1): Fringe Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 9 – 4 – 5 – 7

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:28 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #9 ANNA’S PROMISE (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Stamina to outlast the competition. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
• #4 NO OTHER LIKE YOU (15-1): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #8 DAWN AFTER DAWN (6-1): Major Player. May be able to find the right setup. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
• #5 QUEEN JUBILEE (9-2): Major Player. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 9 – 4 – 8 – 5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:56 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $127k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #4 BOOK’EM (2-1): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Fits well with this group.
• #7 SWEET NOTE (7-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #6 QUANTUM BURST (3-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level. May be able to find the right setup.
• #9 LADY ORIENT (15-1): Contender. Competitive enough in recent efforts. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 4 – 7 – 6 – 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:24 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #16 MISS PHARAOH (15-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form.
• #5 CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS (30-1): Contender. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Productive recent form.
• #2 TAKE NOTE OF THIS (5-2): Worth a look. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Could wear these ones down late.
• #3 EXCLUSIVE STAR (15-1): Fringe Contender. Recent races are solid.

Selections: 16 – 5 – 2 – 3

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:53 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

• #7 PATCH ADAMS (8-5): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.
• #10 CANT STOP MUNNINGS (6-1): Fringe Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #1 FAUST (8-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.
• #2 NATIVE RUNNER (6-1): Fringe Contender. May be a better effort in the 2nd start. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 7 – 10 – 1 – 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:21 PM ET; Ed Brown Stakes $225k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #1 TOUGH CATCH (8-5): Best bet of the card. Proven competitor at this configuration. Strong early pace figs. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #2 GLEAN (7-2): Contender. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #7 KEEP IT EASY (3-1): Worth a look. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Previous success in similar race types.
• #5 THRILLA (8-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 7 – 5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:49 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $127k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #5 DISCO TIME (8-5): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort. Race sets up perfectly.
• #8 HEAVENVILLE (4-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Likely to get forward position.
• #7 MCKELLEN (8-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
• #9 LIL MUGGS (3-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 8 – 7 – 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:18 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #4 ORNATO (12-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
• #11 TO MONARCH (12-1): Contender. Running well of late.
• #1 DARK DANGER (30-1): Contender. Should step forward from the first start. Potentially ready to hit a top number.
• #10 ANEGADA (5-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Could be grinding down the competition late.

Selections: 4 – 11 – 1 – 10

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:48 PM ET; Golden Rod Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #3 GOOD CHEER (4-5): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Should be able to work out a trip.
• #1 ECLATANT (5-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #4 QUIETSIDE (3-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Should sit a good trip.
• #5 STURGEON MOON (20-1): Fringe Contender. Competitive enough in recent efforts. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 4 – 5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:18 PM ET; Fern Creek Stakes $225k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #1 ECHO SOUND (2-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Looks good based on the 82 speed rating, which is among the top in the group.
• #4 SHISOSPICY (9-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Good race flow for this runner.
• #9 IMPULSE BUY (5-2): Major Player. Likely in the mix early. Potential to have this pace fall just right.
• #10 ME GOVERNOR (5-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 9 – 10

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:48 PM ET; Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #2 JONATHAN’S WAY (5-2): Top pick. Odds suggest this colt is ready to fire on debut. Strong early pace figs.
• #8 FIRST RESORT (9-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #3 TIZTASTIC (5-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
• #6 CLOCK TOWER (10-1): Fringe Contender. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 3 – 6

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:18 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

• #3 LIMITED EDITION (7-2): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
• #7 MAGNUM FORCE (6-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #8 COPP (12-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch. May be able to find the right setup.
• #13 WHITE WHALE (8-1): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 3 – 7 – 8 – 13

Betting News Horse Racing Coverage

Don’t miss all the horse racing action covered by Betting News each and every week. Coverage includes free handicapping tools, comprehensive guides, and in-depth analysis of the week’s biggest cards. Check out our full card analysis for this week’s upcoming big races:

Friday

• Churchill Downs picks featuring the Grade 2 Clark Stakes and the Grade 2 Mrs. Revere
• Del Mar picks featuring the Grade 2 Hollywood Turf Cup

Saturday

• Churchill Downs picks featuring the Grade 2 Golden Rod and Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes
• Del Mar picks featuring the Grade 1 Hollywood Derby, Grade 3 Jimmy Durante Stakes, and the Grade 2 Seabiscuit Stakes

Sunday

• Del Mar picks featuring the Grade 1 Matriarch Stakes