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Churchill Downs Picks- Louisville Stakes Full Card
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
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The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Louisville Stakes Check out our Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis
Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 6:00 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $54k; 4 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #4 BOTTOMS UP (12-1): Top pick. Should improve off the debut. Race sets up perfectly.
- #7 CASE ACE (8-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #5 BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY (3-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
- #2 DEDOS (9-5): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 4 – 7 – 5 – 2
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 6:28 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #2 GREEN LIGHT (5-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #6 SARDIS (7-2): Major Player. Maker is a good bet at the meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #3 CABERNAYDO (8-1): Contender. Has been running well enough recently. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #14 DOUBLE NEAT (12-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 2 – 6 – 3 – 14
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 6:56 PM ET; Claiming $52k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #1 ROCK STAR DOCTOR (5-2): Top pick. Race may set up for this runner.
- #6 MIDNIGHT TANGO (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #4 DREAMING ALWAYS (7-2): Contender. Goes out for the combination of Beschizza and Forster. Previous success in similar race types.
- #2 RED SUN DRESS (4-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 1 – 6 – 4 – 2
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 7:26 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #1 DISARM (4-5): Best bet of the card. Comes in with solid form. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #2 HOWLING TIME (7-2): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Good race flow for this runner.
- #6 TEXAS RED HOT (10-1): Contender. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
- #4 BABA VOSS (4-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 1 – 2 – 6 – 4
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 7:57 PM ET; Claiming $56k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #3 ONCOMING TRAIN (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Favorable class relief in this spot. Bet today’s live longshot on BetOnline.
- #2 FAN THE FIRE (3-1): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Gets a top-notch pilot in Geroux.
- #4 TRUE JEDI (4-1): Contender. This one’s a fighter in the late stages. Has been running well enough recently.
- #5 PICO D’ORO (7-2): Contender. Recent races are solid. Fast enough on paper to compete.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 4 – 5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 8:30 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $50k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 14 runners.
- #9 ICE TIME (5-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
- #5 ACTIVE DUTY (3-1): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #7 VIGANO (6-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Has experience at this level.
- #6 ADMIRAL HALL (12-1): Contender. Bloodlines fit this race. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 9 – 5 – 7 – 6
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 9:05 PM ET; Louisville S. $250k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 11 runners.
- #8 BOLD ACT (1-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Solid closing kick.
- #1 STARTING OVER (4-1): Contender. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Maker is a good bet at the meet.
- #10 UTAH BEACH (7-2): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #4 GUNTOWN (30-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 8 – 1 – 10 – 4
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 9:39 PM ET; Claiming $78k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #9 O P FIRECRACKER (3-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Top 5 rider aboard.
- #4 BACKGROUND (7-2): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Speed figures match this group well.
- #1 FIFTY CENT DOLLARS (4-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #2 ELUSIVE TARGET (15-1): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 9 – 4 – 1 – 2
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 10:11 PM ET; Allowance $127k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #5 HUNTRESS FOR HIRE (3-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Looks good based on the 92-speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #6 VIRASANA (5-2): Major Player. Gets a top-notch pilot in Geroux.
- #3 MOTOWN DYNAMIC (7-2): Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 MARMALADE SKYE (5-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.
Selections: 5 – 6 – 3 – 1
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 10:42 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #10 FAIR DINKUM (5-1): Top pick. Decent form of late. Top 5 rider aboard.
- #16 EXTRA ANEJO (6-5): Major Player. Running well of late. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony.
- #1 LOYAL COMPANY (15-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
- #3 GRAY’S FABLE (4-1): Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 10 – 16 – 1 – 3
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 11:10 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #5 LETSTALKABOUTME (5-2): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
- #1 ALICIT INTENTION (7-2): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #8 MISCHIEVOUSNESS (3-1): Contender. Morning Line suggests this filly is all systems go for the first start. Speed figs match up nicely.
- #3 WINE AND WAVES (8-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 5 – 1 – 8 – 3
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Don’t miss all of the horse racing action covered by Betting News each and every week. Coverage includes free handicapping tools, comprehensive guides, and in-depth analysis of the week’s biggest cards. Check out our full card analysis for this week’s upcoming big races:
Wednesday
- Horseshoe Indianapolis picks featuring 4 stakes races.
Friday
- Pimlico featuring the Grade 2 Black-Eyed Susan
Saturday
- Pimlico featuring the Grade 1 Preakness Stakes
- Belmont at the Big A featuring the Grade 3 Vagrancy Stakes
- Churchill Downs featuring the Grade 3 Louisville Stakes
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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