Keeneland will host the final Kentucky Derby prep of the year. Check out our Keeneland picks for the Lexington Stakes. Runners will hope to cement their place in the starting gate on the first Saturday in May.
Full Card Analysis
Keeneland Picks 4/13/2024
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Keeneland Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:00 PM ET, $43k Maiden Claiming, 5 1/2 f on dirt, 12 Entries
- #1 GLORIETTE (4-1): Top selection. Consistent pace figures, suited for the anticipated moderate pace. Trained by Colebrook and ridden by Machado.
- #6 BAINBRIDGE DANCER (20-1): Major player. Capable of handling the distance well.
- #3 MISSILE (2-1): Competitive. Demonstrated ability to compete at this level.
- #10 STUCK ON YOU (10-1): Contender. Shouldn’t have issues with the distance.
Selections:
1 – 6 – 3 – 10
Keeneland Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:32 PM ET, $60k Claiming, 7 f on dirt, 8 Entries
Longshot Play of the Day
- #6 ST. BENEDICTS PREP (6-1): Top selection. Competitive races, trained by Colebrook and ridden by Machado. Bet the longshot play of the card at BetOnline.
- #4 LIAM’S CHAMP (3-1): Major player. Proven in similar conditions.
- #7 EYES OF GOLD (20-1): Contender. Chance to surprise, ridden by Castanon.
- #3 THEROANRUNNER (8-5): Strong contender. Dangerous on the front end.
Selections: 6 – 4 – 7 – 3
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Keeneland Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:04 PM ET, $49k Maiden Claiming, about 7 f on dirt, 12 Entries
- #12 SUMMONYOURCOURAGE (7-2): Top selection. Strategic runner, handles conditions well.
- #6 PAVED IN GOLD (15-1): Price horse. Likely for minor placings.
- #4 EIRIK RIDGE (4-1): Competitive. Expected to be in the mix late.
- #7 TRUE FAITH (8-1): Improving. Danger on the front end.
Selections: 12 – 6 – 4 – 7
Keeneland Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:36 PM ET, $100k Maiden Special Weight, 6 1/2 f on dirt, 10 Entries
- #3 LOU’S LEGACY (9-2): Top selection. Positioned for a well-timed run, strong pedigree.
- #5 COACH CAMPBELL (12-1): Major player. Makes sense on speed figures.
- #6 TEEN IDOL (8-1): Improving. Considerable contender with Rosario aboard.
- #9 SHADOW SURGE (7-2): Debuting, competitive. Trained by Weaver and ridden by Ortiz.
Selections: 3 – 5 – 6 – 9
Keeneland Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:08 PM ET, $100k Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 m on turf, 16 Entries
- #5 SCARLET POPPY (4-1): Top selection. Debuting, strong contender with Ward and Velazquez.
- #2 SPALIDAY (5-2): Improving. Major player based on speed figures.
- #1 PIN UP BETTY (10-1): Price horse. Competitive with consistent pace figures.
- #6 WINE AND WAVES (12-1): Fringe contender.
Selections: 5 – 2 – 1 – 6
Keeneland Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:40 PM ET, $120k Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 1/16 m on dirt, 7 Entries
- #6 FIRELINE (4-1): Top selection. Class of the field, trained by Brown and ridden by Gaffalione.
- #7 MUSICAL MISCHIEF (5-1): Major player. Competent under Mccarthy’s training and Velazquez’s riding.
- #2 JULIA SHINING (1-1): Strong contender. Holds top overall power rating.
- #1 MAGICAL LUTE (6-1): Contender. Expected to benefit from the race setup.
Selections: 6 – 7 – 2 – 1
Keeneland Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:12 PM ET, $300k Giant’s Causeway S., 5 1/2 f on turf, 13 Entries
- #8 ROSES FOR DEBRA (4-1): Top selection. Class of the field under Clement’s training and Ortiz’s riding.
- #12 LOVE REIGNS (8-1): Competitive. Trained by Ward and ridden by Rosario.
- #4 OEUVRE (8-1): Competitive. Holds top overall power rating.
- #11 ELM DRIVE (7-2): Competitive.
Selections: 8 – 12 – 4 – 11
Keeneland Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:44 PM ET, $130k Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 1/16 m on dirt, 8 Entries
- #7 CLASSIC CATCH (2-1): Top selection. Runs good enough to beat the group, solid recent form.
- #3 FROSTED DEPARTURE (5-1): Competitive. Solid recent form.
- #2 TRANSECT (3-1): Contender. Makes sense on speed figures.
- #4 BRIGADIER GENERAL (10-1): Price horse. Solid recent form.
Selections: 7 – 3 – 2 – 4
Keeneland Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:16 PM ET, $600k Jenny Wiley S., 1 1/16 m on turf, 10 Entries
- #6 GINA ROMANTICA (3-1): Top selection. Strong early pace figures, trained by Brown and ridden by Gaffalione.
- #9 DIDIA (4-1): Competitive. Solid recent form, class of the field.
- #2 FLUFFY SOCKS (6-1): Competitive. Solid recent form, strong closing kick.
- #7 SURGE CAPACITY (5-1): Contender.
Selections: 6 – 9 – 2 – 7
Keeneland Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:48 PM ET, $400k Stonestreet Lexington S., 1 1/16 m on dirt, 10 Entries
Best Bet of the Card
- #5 HADES (7-2): Top selection. Tactical speed, competitive. Feels like they really want the Derby which may not be the same motivation for all these. Bet today’s best Best Bet at BetUS.
- #2 THE WINE STEWARD (5-2): Competitive. Holds top overall power rating.
- #10 LUCKY JEREMY (8-1): Competitive. Solid recent form.
- #4 FOOTPRINT (10-1): Price horse. Solid recent form, handles conditions well.
Selections: 5 – 2 – 10 – 4
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Keeneland Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:20 PM ET, $110k Allowance, 1 1/16 m on turf, 16 Entries
- #5 ROYAL MAJESTY (9-2): Major player. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #13 BREAK OUT (8-1): Top selection. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance, may benefit from hot pace.
- #9 MOONLIGHT (4-1): Competitive. Class of the field.
- #11 FRONTLINE WARRIOR (8-1): Competitive at a fair price.
Selections: 5 – 13 – 9 – 11
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