Turf Paradise Picks- Turf Paradise Derby (03/15/2025)

Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated: Thu Mar 13, 2025, 08:46 AM
Read Time: 6 minutes

horses
The racing action from Turf Paradise on Saturday features the Turf Paradise Derby. @HandicappingT3 has all the Turf Paradise picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis

Turf Paradise Picks- Turf Paradise Derby (03/15/2025)
Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:25 PM PT; Allred Brothers Stakes $40k; 350 Y Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day
- #6 YOU CAN RUN (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #9 SAMPSON SAYS (8-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #1 WOMAN IN GOLD (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
- #4 JESS MY DYNASTY (3-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 9 – 1 – 4
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:55 PM PT; Allowance Optional Claiming $23k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #7 ALL THAT GLORY (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 103 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #2 JOHN DUNBAR (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #3 DAGGER RANCH (5-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 JIN TONG (4-1): Fringe Contender. Should still have enough if the reserves are there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 7 – 2 – 3 – 1
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:24 PM PT; Claiming $19.5k; 4 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #9 ANNIE’S BOY (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.
- #4 BLUEGRASS FAITH (5-1): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape. Can run with these.
- #6 JAIME’S COMMITMENT (4-1): Major Player. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Previous success in similar race types.
- #2 MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF (8-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 9 – 4 – 6 – 2
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:52 PM PT; Allowance $30k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #8 NEVER SWAY (5-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Race sets up perfectly.
- #4 PEPPER MILL (3-1): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #5 BLESSED ANGEL (9-2): Worth a look. Could wear these ones down late. Previous success in similar race types.
- #3 ASENA (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 8 – 4 – 5 – 3
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:20 PM PT; Cotton Fitzsimmons Handicap $50k; 1 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #6 IRISH PROPHET (5-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
- #5 KENNEBEC (7-2): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Comes home strong.
- #3 CORNISHMAN (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
- #7 SALINE RIVER (3-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 6 – 5 – 3 – 7
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:48 PM PT; Turf Paradise Derby $50k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #3 SPENARD (6-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 WOOD CEILING (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #7 BODI ZAFA (3-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 DON’T FLY STAND BY (7-2): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 1
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:18 PM PT; Arizona Oaks $50k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
- #4 TWO BAR (5-1): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
- #5 POLYTHENE PAM (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #2 SUNSET BEAUTY (6-1): Contender. The 78 speed rating is among the best in the field. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
- #3 KANOJO (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 4 – 5 – 2 – 3
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:48 PM PT; Queen of the Green Handicap $50k; 1 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #6 FLAME MCGOON (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #8 EMPRESS ELLIE (5-1): Contender. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #1 AVENTAPP (6-1): Worth a look. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #3 BIG HUG (4-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 6 – 8 – 1 – 3
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:18 PM PT; Phoenix Gold Cup Handicap $50k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card
- #1 REDLINE (5-2): Best bet of the card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #6 TAPATIO LEO (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #5 COASTAL JAZZ (7-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
- #4 PLANE TALK (5-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 1 – 6 – 5 – 4
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Saturday Analysis
- Colonial Downs Picks featuring the Virginia Derby offering Kentucky Derby Prep points
- Gulfstream Park Picks featuring the Hutcheson Stakes
- Oaklawn Park Picks featuring the Grade 3 Whitmore Stakes
- Santa Anita Picks featuring the Grade 3 Santa Ana Stakes
- Turf Paradise Picks featuring 5 stakes races including the Turf Paradise Derby
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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