Giants vs Reds: MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (8/3)

Last night, the Cincinnati Reds fell victim to a no hitter, tossed by San Francisco Giants lefty, Blake Snell. The Giants won the contest 3-0, and Snell lasted all 9 innings, walking just 3 batters and striking out 11 as well. The man could not be touched, and tonight the Reds have to face another lefty from San Francisco. The Giants lead the overall season series 3-1, and took the first game of this series last night with two more to play. Despite their 22-33 away record, the Giants have won 6 of their L7 overall and are trending in the right direction. They are still 8.5 games back in the NL West, but we have plenty of baseball to still be played.

Current MLB Standings

The Reds are in last place of the NL Central and have dropped two straight games now. They are 10 games back in the division, and the bats are pretty stagnant. They hit .228 as a team, with that number staying the same at home and against left handed pitchers. However, they are hitting just .204 in 12 games since the All Star Break, and still have yet to get a hit in August. Point being, I do not see much changing tonight. The Reds are just 5-7 since the break, and they are running out of motivation as the season comes to a close. But, on the bright side, they do have stud Hunter Greene on the mound tonight.

Greene has a sub 3.00 ERA but it does increase almost an entire run at home. According to his splits, he prefers to pitch on the road and during the day, but tonight he starts at home. Greene picked up the win in his last home start, but 3 of his 4 losses this year happened at Great American Ball Park. As the Reds batting splits suggest, this would just be a matter of chance, as they hit just as bad on the road or at home. With Kyle Harrison on the mound for the Giants, I think this could be a tough task for the home team.

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds: NL Matchup Information

Game Information – Giants vs Reds

• Venue & Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati Reds)
• Date: Saturday, August 3rd, 2024
• First Pitch: 7:15pm Eastern
• Broadcast: FOX

Giants vs Reds Starting Pitchers

• San Francisco Giants: Kyle Harrison (6-4, 3.69 ERA, 1.28 WHIP)
• Cincinnati Reds: Hunter Greene (7-4, 2.97 ERA, 1.05 WHIP)

Betting Odds

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Run Line

• Giants +1.5 (-170)
• Reds -1.5 (+150)

Money Line

• Giants +120
• Reds -130

Total

• Over 9 (-105)
• Under 9 (-115)

Can Reds Bounce Back After Getting No Hit?

Getting no hit is no fun at all, and it can be demoralizing. Especially for a team that is hitting just .204 since the All Star Break. But good news for the Reds, they are back at home tonight. Kyle Harrison has his ERA increase slightly on the road, and has his WHIP inflate to 1.39. While these aren’t drastic changes, it is clear he prefers to pitch at Oracle Park. However, Harrison is coming off two wins in his last three outings, allowing just 2 earned runs on 7 hits in 17 total innings pitched. He walked just 7 and struck out 20 batters in that stretch, so he could be firing on all cylinders right now.

Harrison Road Struggles

However, he struggles on the road. Harrison has lost his last 2 road starts, but has 3 road wins on the year. I think he is lucking out pitching against the Reds, who are struggling offensively overall. This seems like it should be a “bounce back” day for the Reds bats, but ultimately I think the Giants will have the last laugh. While these are two not so good teams in the MLB, I think the Giants have more going for them, and therefore, a little more motivation. Winning 6 of their L7 can’t be ignored either, and for plus money, I think I leaning towards backing San Francisco.

The Giants have 5 players with an above average, great, or elite rating today against Greene, and I think they could take advantage. Greene has pitched incredibly well recently. Since the break, he has made two road starts, pitching 14 shutout innings, allowing just 4 hits combined. In his last 4 starts, Green has pitched 27 innings, allowing just 1 run on 9 hits and 8 walks, while posting 29 strikeouts. At the moment, Greene is currently throwing fire. If Greene can keep this up, along with Harrison shoving for the Giants, I see hitters having a tough time at the plate today.

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Best Bets

Giants vs Reds Prediction: Giants Win

Best Bet: Hunter Greene Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-104) BetOnline

Now, we are asking for a lot of strikeouts for this guy, but I think he can get there. Greene had 10 strikeouts in his last outing at home, and he has cleared this line in just 6/21 starts this year, but 3/11 home starts. Greene posts 1.11 Ks per inning this year, with that number rising to 1.16 at home. San Francisco is Top 10 in the MLB in K Rate on the road this season, and I see Greene shutting down some hitters tonight. Of the Reds hitters Greene has seen, he has struckout all of them at least once, with Mike Yastrzemski being the outlier having only faced Greene once. Point being, Greene is familiar with these hitters, and should be able to fool them with his pitching.

It is tough to ignore how dominant this kid has been in recent outings, and I will certainly back him to do it again at home against these Giants batters. San Francisco hits .244 as a team but just .233 on the road and .236 against RHP. Greene is set up perfectly to have a solid outing, pitch plenty of innings, and sit down 8 or more batters.

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