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MLB Must Bet Props: Team Totals | August 9, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Happy Friday!
Here are a couple of first five team total props that you can sink your teeth into as we get ready for the weekend.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Friday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Yesterday’s write up went 1-1. Today is a new day. Let’s feast!
Royals F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+100)
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Royals star, Bobby Witt Jr. admiring long ball
The Stank:
Nothing better than A Friday night in Kansas City, maybe other than taking advantage of Cardinals starting pitcher, Miles Mikolas as he takes on the Royals in Kansas City.
I love the Royals today. They enter today with four elite rated hitters, according to Batters-Box.com. Along with zero poor rated hitters and zero hitters above the league strikeout rate. Their bats have been pretty consistent as of late, batting a cool crisp .277 with an .818 OPS. In their last three games they have averaged 4.0 runs in the first five innings. At home this season they are averaging 2.69 runs.
As mentioned, the St. Louis Cardinals starter has one of the worst pitching matchups on the slate. He has the worst average hitter matchup strikeout rate on the day. The 35-year old right hander has been struggling, posting a 5.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. He has allowed teams to surpass 2.5 runs in 13 of his 23 outings this season.
Hopefully, the Royals bats come alive early and often against Mikolas and continue the hot streak they have had all week long.
Red Sox F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-105)
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The Stank:
At Fenway Park, the Boston Red Sox host the Houston Astros, with Ronel Blanco pitching for Houston. Despite a strong season record, Blanco struggles with hard contact and a low ground ball rate, according to advanced stats from Batters-Box.com.
The Red Sox lineup is formidable, featuring three elite hitters in default ratings and four in current season ratings. Boston ranks in the top five for first five innings scoring, averaging 2.91 runs, and performs even better at home, averaging 3.13 runs. Over their last ten games, they’re batting .300 with an OPS of .896.
Let’s hope their hot streak continues early to cash in on this first five bet!
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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