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MLB Must Bet Props: Team Totals, Bases & More | August 16, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Happy Friday!
As the Mets gear up for a pivotal Friday night clash, two betting angles stand out: Francisco Lindor’s bases prop and the Mets’ first five innings team total against a vulnerable Roddery Munoz.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Friday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Yesterday’s full card went 4-5 (+1.29 Units). Time for the weekend of the century!
Mets F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-140)
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Jesse Winker getting ready to hit one to Mars
The Stank:
On this Friday, the Marlins’ starter, Roddery Munoz, faces a challenging matchup. Munoz has the worst pitcher rating and allows the second-highest average hitter contact. His stats are concerning: a 5.67 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and he’s allowed more than 2.5 runs in consecutive starts. This season, he’s allowed over 2.5 runs in eight out of 15 starts.
The Mets have seven elite-rated hitters and rank second in average hitter matchup ratings. The Mets are particularly strong in the first five innings, averaging 2.69 runs. This is nice, especially considering that the Marlins allow the second-most runs in the first five innings, with an average of 3.04 runs allowed.
Given Munoz’s struggles and the Mets’ offensive prowess, there’s a good chance the Mets will continue their trend of scoring early and often.
Let’s hope for a strong performance and cash in early!
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+102)
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The Stank:
Sprinkles of the Day:
- Francisco Lindor HR (+425)
- Jesse Winker HR (+900)
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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