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NCAA Basketball Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: Feast Week is Here (11/21)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Feast Week is upon us! There is ton’s of College Hoops in season tournaments beginning today, so we are back for some more NCAA Basketball action! As always, we will be diving into the College Hoops slate to find our best bets for today! We’ve got a decent sized slate, however it is a very long season, so we will continue to pick our spots carefully.
For all of our Expert NCAA Basketball Picks, check out our page here. But for now, let’s get right into it!
Listed below are my College Hoops best bets for today, but be sure to get all of my picks on my Twitter (@Shaggy_Bets)
NCAA Basketball Best Bets – November 21st, 2024
Niagara vs Kent State Predictions
Niagara has lost 3 straight games but faces Kent State tonight
Best Bet: Niagara/Kent State Over 137 (-115) BetOnline
Points, points, points! Here we are basically backing two very bad defenses to continue playing terribly. I’ll admit, we do have two very slow teams in this contest, but neither can stop their opponents from scoring.
The visiting Purple Eagles of Niagara rank 334th in both Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and eFG% Defense. They give up plenty of offensive boards, and offensively they make it rain downtown. Niagara ranks 19th in 3P Rate, shooting over 51% of their shots from deep while hitting them at a 38.2% clip.
Kent State is 268th in eFG% Defense and barely forces any turnovers. They allowed Louisiana to shoot 45% from beyond the arc in their early season victory, and Niagara is a team that shoots better and more often than the Ragin Cajuns.
#13 Baylor vs #22 St. John’s Predictions
Jeremy Roach leads the a young Bears team this season
Best Bet: Baylor ML (-148) BetOnline
Don’t be afraid, pay the juiceman. Baylor is the more battle tested, more talented team in this spot, and they’ve already played away from home. St. John’s has beat up on bad teams at home and are in for a big wake up call in the Bahamas tonight.
Since they lost the Gonzaga, Baylor beat a solid Arkansas team on a neutral site and are coming off two straight wins where they scored triple digits. Overall, the Bears are the more talented team here, and I’ll eliminate the spread by paying some juice on the ML for a straight up Baylor victory.
For my full breakdown and analysis, check out my article below.
Tarleton State vs Michigan Predictions
Dusty May has taken over as HC for the Wolverines this season
Best Bet: Michigan -30 (-110) BetOnline
Dusty May takes over things in Ann Arbor, and things are going good so far. Michigan is beating bad teams as they should, with a small slip up against a decent Wake Forest team. While Tarleton State is certainly battle tested, playing teams ranked 59th, 115th, 94th, and 10th on Bart Torvik, they are still way out talented in this game. Michigan hasn’t been playing a cupcake schedule either, but with games against Wisconsin, Iowa, and Arkansas up ahead, I see the Wolverines playing tough and using this as a tune up game.
It’s a lot of points to cover but Michigan is very fast, playing great offense and defense, and shoots the ball very well from downtown. Let me just drop you some stats.
Michigan Wolverines Advanced Analytics
- AdjO Eff: 16th
- eFG%: 5th
- OR: 17th
- 3P Rate: 65th
- 3p%: 23rd
- AdjD Eff: 54th
- eFG% D: 26th
Not only do they shoot over 46% of their shots from deep, but they make over 41% of them. Tarleton State ranks 291st in 3P Rate Defense and 350th in 3P% Defense, allowing their opponents to shoot 42% from deep. The Texans are 347th in eFG% Defense, 324th offensively in that stat, and send their opponents to the free throw line plenty.
This is going to be a good ole fashion ass whooping for Tarleton, who just lost to Baylor by 60.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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