Pop-Tarts Bowl, #18 Iowa State vs #13 Miami: NCAA Football Odds & Best Bets

Two teams who just barely missed out on the College Football Playoff meet up in Orlando to face off in the Pop-Tarts Bowl! The Big 12 runner ups, the Iowa State Cyclones take on the Miami Hurricanes who missed the ACC championship by losing to Syracuse their last time out. It’s a bowl game, so you know it: Let’s talk tranfers!

The HUGE highlight of this game is on future NFL QB and probable Top 5 pick, Miami QB Cam Ward. He has stated he will play. Everything indicates he will take the field, especially the late line movement. As for WR Xavier Restrepo, his story is slightly different, as he say’s he is not sure as he also prepares for the NFL Draft. The Canes will already miss Starting WR Isaiah Horton who signed with Alabama, as well as a couple of CBs who remain injured.

Iowa State should be good to go. Despite some players in the portal and moving on, WR Jaylin Noel and CB Myles Purchase have separately expressed that they expect all the seniors to play. Obviously Rocco Becht will be at the helm as well, and after their 10-2 season ending with the Cyclones forgetting they made the Conference Championship, I could see them coming out with some fire to end the season on a high note.

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#18 Iowa State Cyclones vs #13 Miami Hurricanes: Pop-Tarts Bowl

Matchup Information – Iowa State vs Miami

• Venue & Location: Camping World Stadium (Orlando, FL)
• Date: Saturday, December 28th, 2024
• Kick Off: 3:30pm Eastern
• Broadcast: ABC

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Iowa State +5 (-115)
• Miami -5 (-105)

Money Line

• Iowa State +175
• Miami -205

Total

• Over 57 (-115)
• Under 57 (-105)

Cyclones and Hurricanes Meet in Orlando

Iowa State was absolutely annihilated by Arizona State in the Big 12 Championship. They allowed a season high 45 points (a total they also gave up to Kansas), and only produced 19 of their own. Miami is literally the highest scoring offense in the nation, putting up over 43 points per game. Even if Restrepo opts out, with Ward, the Hurricanes are always capable of scoring in bunches.

They lead the nation in scoring, yards per game, and 3rd down conversion rate, while also holding their own defensively. They are 64th in points per game allowed, but rank 26th in yards per game and 30th in red zone scoring percentage. The Cyclones are Top 38 on both sides of the ball in scoring, yards per game, and also Top 45 in 3rd down conversions.

Miami is one of the most pass heavy offenses in the nation, throwing over 55% of the time and ranking Top 20 in nearly all passing categories. However they face a stout Iowa State secondary, ranking 2nd in the nation in opponent completion percentage, 5th in passing yards allowed, and are 9th in the country in interceptions. As long as Ward is on the field, he is not going to have an easy time in the pocket.

#18 Iowa State vs #13 Miami Best Bets

Iowa State vs Miami Prediction: Iowa State Wins, Under 57.5

Best Bets: Miami TT Under 29.5 (+110) Bovada

Shop around if you can, as I would much rather pay some juice for 31.5 if available, because trust me, this is going to be sweaty.

This will either be a no sweat bet, or the Hurricanes are putting up 50. There’s probably no in between.

Now, Iowa State has given up 45+ points twice this year, but it was to two very rush heavy offenses in Kansas and Arizona State. This is a very tough Cyclones secondary, and I see them making Cam Ward’s life very difficult, maybe to the point of him not coming in for the 2nd half. In all honest, I am still slightly thinking he opts out completely prior to kick.

Regardless, the Hurricanes are going to need to run the ball, which they don’t do nearly as effectively as they throw it. I see more motivation on Iowa State’s side, and I see them being able to keep themselves in this game with their defense.

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