Tuesday College Football Best Best | November 12, 2024

Week 12 in college football brings us a couple of intriguing matchups, and we’ve got our best bets locked in. We’re targeting two prop plays that are too good to pass up—one on a quarterback who’s been lighting up weak defenses, and the other on a team with a potent passing attack facing a defense that’s struggled all year. If you’re looking for some solid bets, these are definitely worth your attention.

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College football 2024: 47-42-2 (-0.22 Units)

Week 11 college football results: 5-7-1 (-3.32 Units)

Ball State vs Buffalo

Ball State vs Buffalo odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on College Football games.

Bet: C.J. Ogbonna Over 203.5 Pass Yards (-114) on BetOnline

Heading to the props market for this MAC showdown, we’re once again fading a defense that simply can’t defend the pass. For the second straight week, we’re fading Ball State and taking CJ Ogbonna over 203.5 passing yards.

The senior quarterback has hit this mark in three straight games, all against better defenses than he’ll face on Tuesday night. He threw for 210 yards against Akron (91st in passing yards allowed), 257 against Ohio (51st), and 309 against Western Michigan (114th). Ball State ranks 4th worst nationally in passing yards allowed per game, giving up nearly 300 yards, and on the road, they allow opponents 330 passing yards.

They have allowed a quarterback surpass 203.5 yards in seven of their nine games this season, even against average quarterbacks, with three of five MAC matchups seeing this mark passed. Ogbonna has shown he can pick apart weak defenses, especially after facing strong ones earlier in the season.

Buffalo has already taken on Northern Illinois and Missouri, defenses that don’t compare to Ball State or his recent opponents. This play could even be laddered up to 250 yards, but I’ll play it safe with the 203.5.

Central Michigan vs Toledo

Central Michigan vs Toledo odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on College Football games.

Bet: Toledo (-14) on BetOnline

Prop Bet: Tucker Gleason Over 241.5 Pass Yards (-117) on BetOnline

Central Michigan may have one of the most inept offenses this die-hard college football fan has ever witnessed. Last week, the Chippewas somehow covered the 16-point spread against Bowling Green, but their offense was so abysmal in the first half they had to turn to their third-string quarterback—who, incredibly, performed better than the second-stringer. Third-string QB Jadyn Glasser threw for just 57 yards, completing five of his seven passes. Despite the quarterback change, the offense never found any rhythm. With starter Jose Labas out, if second-stringer Tyler Jefferson gets the nod, expect a heavy dose of runs—his passing accuracy is practically non-existent.

Meanwhile, Toledo’s quarterback, Gleason, should have a field day against CMU’s defense, which is allowing nearly 230 yards per game through the air. Gleason is averaging 237 yards passing this season, surpassing that mark in half of his games—including against tough defenses like Mississippi State, Miami (OH), and Bowling Green. In those three games, he averaged 307 yards per game. The Rockets are a pass-heavy team, ranking in the top 35 nationally for pass attempts per game, and they’ll lean on the aerial attack even more at home, where they average 29 pass attempts per game.

Toledo’s high-powered offense should be far too much for CMU to keep up with. The Rockets are scoring around 30 points per game, while the Chippewas are stuck near the bottom of the rankings, scoring just 16 points per game. If Jefferson starts for CMU, expect most of their offense to come on the ground, which should be fun to watch. Toledo’s defense ranks 51st in rush yards allowed, giving up just 138 yards per game.

I’m all in on both of these plays. If Toledo gets up by two touchdowns, they’ll be slinging the ball with ease.

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