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Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | December 25, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-2.0
-120
44
-110o
-150
Pittsburgh Steelers Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+2.5
+100
44
-105u
+132
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe Christmas Day clash between the 10-5 Pittsburgh Steelers and the 14-1 Kansas City Chiefs promises high stakes and plenty of drama. The Chiefs, aiming to secure the AFC’s top seed and a lengthy rest for their starters, face a Steelers team hungry to bounce back after two tough losses. With playoff intensity in the air, Pittsburgh’s gritty defense will look to disrupt Kansas City’s dominance in a battle of resilience versus momentum.
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2024 NFL Write ups this season 31-28 (-1.13 Units)
Week 16 Recap: 1-0 (+1.06 Units)
Chiefs vs Steelers Odds
Can Russell Wilson and the Steelers bounce back after two straight road losses?
All NFL odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Monday, Dec 23 at 1:30 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article
Spread
Chiefs: -3 (-102)
Steelers: +3 (-118)
Total
Over: 43.5 (-110)
Under: 43.5 (-110)
Moneyline
Chiefs: -153
Steelers: +133
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Chiefs vs Steelers Predictions
Christmas Day NFL action delivers an exciting showdown as the 10-5 Pittsburgh Steelers host the 14-1 Kansas City Chiefs in what promises to be a thrilling game. Both teams have already secured playoff berths, but the Chiefs are looking to lock up the top spot in the AFC. With one more win, Kansas City would secure the number one seed, giving Patrick Mahomes and the starters nearly a month off—an extended break from December 25 to January 17. This provides extra motivation for the Chiefs, while the Steelers have plenty of incentive to play spoiler.
Steelers’ Struggles
Pittsburgh is coming off a challenging stretch, losing back-to-back road games against Philadelphia and Baltimore by two touchdowns each. Now, on a short week, they look to rebound at home against a red-hot Chiefs team. Kansas City has been dominant all season and enters this game on a five-game win streak, going 5-0 straight up but just 2-3 against the spread. However, those victories have come against some of the league’s weaker opponents—Carolina, Las Vegas, and Cleveland.
The Steelers’ defense, which has allowed fewer than 16 points per game at home this season, presents a tougher challenge. Despite giving up 61 points over the last two games, this unit is one of the league’s best at stopping both the run and the pass. Facing the Chiefs could be an opportunity for the Steelers’ defense to channel their frustration into a standout performance.
Trends
Home underdogs on Christmas? Count me in. The Chiefs have been winning, but not by wide margins. This season, 40% of their victories (six games) have been by three points or fewer, and 53% (eight games) have been by five points or fewer. Kansas City has struggled to cover spreads, going 6-8-1 (40%).
On the other hand, Pittsburgh has excelled against the spread, posting a 10-5 record (66%). Head coach Mike Tomlin thrives as an underdog, with a career record of 41-28-1 in such situations—a nearly 60% success rate. Getting a three-point cushion as a home team against one of the league’s best feels like the smarter play, especially when considering the Chiefs’ tendency to narrowly escape games.
Bet: Steelers (+3) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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