Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs: NFL Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

Not to distract you from the fact that College Basketball has returned, but we still have some NFL action as it is Monday, and of course that means some Monday Night Football. We are in for quite the treat tonight as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to the Midwest to take on the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.

After starting off 3-1, the Buccaneers have come sliding back down, losing two straight and 3 of their last 4. Now those 3 losses come to the Ravens and the Falcons twice, so it’s not like the Buccaneers let any get away from them like they did against Denver. However, they would’ve liked to at least beat the Falcons once, regardless, they’ve gotta get ready to go into Arrowhead and try to upset the undefeated two time defending Super Bowl Champions.

The Chiefs are undefeated. They boast an NFL leading 7-0 record, and surprisingly they are also 5-2 against the spread. Kansas City is back at home for the first time in nearly a month, and I’m sure fans are ready to see new WR DeAndre Hopkins in person. The margins of victory have been very fine this year for the Chiefs, but no one can deny, this team just keeps on winning.

Will they continue to roll and shut down the Buccaneers tonight? Or can Tampa Bay come into Kansas City and play spoiler?

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs: MNF at Arrowhead

Matchup Information – Buccaneers vs Chiefs

• Venue & Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
• Date: Monday, November 4th, 2024
• Kick Off: 8:15pm Eastern
• Broadcast: ESPN

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Buccaneers +9 (-110)
• Chiefs -9 (-110)

Money Line

• Buccaneers +335
• Chiefs -415

Total

• Over 45.5 (-110)
• Under 45.5 (-110)

Can Baker Lead Bucs to Take Down Undefeated Chiefs?

The Buccaneers are trending in the wrong direction, and they certainly need to turn things around. Now, they are without a doubt competing in these ball games. Sure, they are 1-3 over their last 4 games, but let’s take a look at the scores.

• vs Falcons: 31-26 L
• vs Ravens: 41-31 L
• @ Saints: 51-27 W
• @ Falcons: 36-30 OT L

They are right there in every single contest, but have a tough task today against the Chiefs. Without both Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, things are much tougher on Baker Mayfield to try and put up points with a depleting supporting cast. You know you need to score to beat the Chiefs, it is very tough to slow them down, and I don’t really think the Buccaneers are capable of such tonight.

They are allowing 33.75 points per game over the last few weeks, and while the Chiefs haven’t scored 30 yet this year, they’ve only scored less than 22 points once. They’re defense is rocking, and is quietly one of the best units in the NFL this season. At home, Mahomes and company average 26.33 points per game, and I see them being able to have success on offense again.

As for my actual coin, I’ve got a player prop in mind, and remember, despite the homerisms, we are 10-0 betting on games involving the Chiefs this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Best Bets

Buccaneers vs Chiefs Prediction: Chiefs Win, Buccaneers Cover, Under 45.5

Best Bet: Harrison Butker Over 8.5 Kicking Points (+100) Bovada

Now, his field goals is completely juiced, listed at over 1.5 for around -165 at the best price. But I think he’s capable of knocking down 3 FGs tonight, which would cash this number. Let’s break it down.

The Buccaneers allow 3.9 red zone trips to their opponent per contest. That number jumps up to 5 on the road, and is the worst in the NFL. However, when it’s crunch time, they get to work. The Buccaneers allow TDs on just 54% of their opponent’s RZ trips, with that number dropping to just 33% on the road. Now let’s look from the other side.

The Chiefs get to the Red Zone 4 times per contest at home, which is Top 10 in the NFL. However, they only score touchdowns on 51% of trips, with that number dropping to just 33% at home. To me, that adds up to plenty of field goal opportunities for Butker, and with him being a perfect 12/12 inside of 50 this season and 17/18 on XP, I think he can get us 9 kicking points.

He’s had 3+ field goals twice this season, clearing 8.5 kicking points in 4/7 games, ending another match with 8.

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