Mariners vs. Mets May 14 Betting: Mets to continue bounce-back trend to even series

After handing the Mets a rare loss in a series opener, the Seattle Mariners are in position to hand the NL East leaders their first series loss of the season.

If the Mets are to keep their stellar start intact, they must first take care of business tonight at Citi Field against highly touted Mariners prospect George Kirby, who will look to follow up an outstanding MLB debut against one 2022 World Series hopeful with a strong effort against another championship contender.

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets May 14 Betting Odds and Matchup Information

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Seattle Mariners (15-18, 3rd in the AL West) vs. New York Mets (22-12, 1st in the NL East)
• Venue & Location: Citi Field (Flushing, New York)
• Date: Saturday, May 14, 2022
• Time: 7:10 p.m. Eastern Time
• How to Watch Today’s Mariners vs. Mets Game: ROOT SPORTS Northwest (Mariners), WPIX (Mets), MLB Extra Innings (subscription package)

Mariners vs. Mets Probable Starting Pitching Matchup for Today

• Seattle Mariners: George Kirby (2022: 1 start, 0-0, 0.00 ERA)
• New York Mets: Chris Bassitt (2022: 6 starts, 4-2 W-L, 2.45 ERA)

Today’s Mariners vs. Mets Betting Odds

Odds are via BetOnline. This article may also include odds from our other top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.

Moneyline

• Seattle Mariners +138
• New York Mets -164

Over/Under

• OVER 7 (-106)
• UNDER 7 (-114)

Run Line

• Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-164)
• New York Mets -1.5 (+136)

Impressive Trends Favor Mets as Bassitt Faces Familiar Foe

Even after their 2-1 loss last night, the Mets have a 5.5-game lead atop the NL East and would be the #1 seed in the NL if the 2022 MLB playoffs started today.

Among the many things that stick out about the Mets’ fast start is their record in series thus far. Of their ten completed series, they have won nine and split one. The lone result standing in the way of a perfect record is a split of a four-game series with the Atlanta Braves earlier this month.

To maintain a streak like that for a sustained period, bouncing back well after losses is a must. And that is something that the Mets have done very, very well to date.

Entering tonight’s game against the Mariners, the Mets have tallied ten wins and just one loss in games following a loss. Their only back-to-back losses came against the Washington Nationals in a series finale of an already-clinched four-game series on April 10 and a loss to the Philadelphia Phillies in a series opener the next day.

Records Following a Loss – 2022 MLB Season

1. New York Mets – 10-1 (90.9%)
2. New York Yankees – 6-1 (85.7%)
3. San Diego Padres – 10-2 (83.3%)
4. Los Angeles Angels – 9-3 (75.0%)
5. (tie) Toronto Blue Jays – 10-5 (66.7%)
6. (tie) Milwaukee Brewers – 8-4 (66.7%)
7. Atlanta Braves – 11-6 (64.7%)
8. (tie) Arizona Diamondbacks – 9-6 (60%)
9. (tie) Los Angeles Dodgers – 6-4 (60%)

To keep the good times rolling, the Mets will need to solve Kirby, who was dominant against the Tampa Bay Rays in his MLB debut this past Sunday. He tossed six shutout innings, struck out seven, and allowed just four hits and no walks, with the Mariners going on to win 2-1 in 10 innings.

This will be a homecoming of sorts and a full circle moment for Kirby, who is from Rye, New York and was a 32nd-round draft pick by the Mets out of high school in the 2016 MLB Draft.

He’ll be aiming to outduel Bassitt, who has more familiarity with the Mariners than with any other opponent, due to his long tenure with the Oakland A’s. He’ll be looking for a little more success than he is accustomed to against the M’s. In 14 appearances (12 starts), he is just 1-4 with a 3.98 ERA.

But ten of the appearances and eight of the starts have come in Seattle, where he is just 1-2 with a 4.93 ERA. Last season, he was 0-0 with a 5.28 ERA in four starts against Seattle, but three of those starts were at T-Mobile Park, where he posted a 6.57 ERA.

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets May 14 Prediction and Best Bets

Mariners vs. Mets Prediction: Mets to win

Mariners vs. Mets Best Bets: Mets -1.5 (+148 at BetUS) & OVER 7 (-103 at BetUS)

Bassitt has had only one outing thus far that could be considered poor, which came when he allowed five runs and eight hits in six innings in a 5-2 home loss to the San Francisco Giants on April 20. But three of those five runs and four of those hits were surrendered in the first inning, and he didn’t get hit too hard over his final five innings.

After a pretty disappointing stretch for Seattle, last night’s win was an encouraging sight. But with how well the Mets have bounced back from losses this season, they are the best bet for tonight’s matchup.

Not only have the Mets bounced back with wins in all but one game, eight of their ten bounce-back wins have come by multiple runs. And with the ML longer than -155 at our top recommended sportsbooks, the -1.5 run line is the move to make here.

Trends actually favor the under tonight at Citi Field, but the Mets are yet to have three straight games in which there were fewer than seven total runs in each game. With that in mind, the over is certainly worth a little sprinkle, especially as the Mets have some frustration to swing out after being shut down last night.