Kings vs Warriors Player Props for 1/25: Target These Three Props for a San Francisco Treat

After a deeply difficult week, the Golden State Warriors made an emotional return to the court last night with a resounding win over the Atlanta Hawks at the Chase Center. Tonight, the Dubs will look for back-to-back dubs at home as they host the Sacramento Kings (10:00 pm ET, TNT) in the second half of TNT’s Thursday night NBA doubleheader.

After the death of assistant coach Dejan Milojevic eight days ago, the Warriors’ scheduled games at Utah (1/17) and Dallas (1/19) were postponed.

Last night, they memorialized Milojevic then thumped the Hawks 134-112, with Stephen Curry (25 points, 5 of 8 3PT, eight assists), Jonathan Kuminga (25 points, 11 of 11 FG, nine rebounds), and Klay Thompson (24 points, 5 of 10 3PT) all putting in significant contributions.

Tonight, they will look for consecutive wins, which has been a challenge this season. And they will do so as an underdog, with the Kings favored despite having lost their last three road games.

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Odds

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline. If you’re interested in trying them out, we recommend checking out our BetOnline review.

Spread

• Sacramento Kings -2 (-113)
• Golden State Warriors +2 (-107)

Over/Under

• Over 244 (-110)
• Under 244 (-110)

Moneyline

• Sacramento Kings -131
• Golden State Warriors +111

Last Five Games for the Sacramento Kings

• Atlanta Hawks (1/22 – home): won 122-107
• Indiana Pacers (1/18 – home): lost 126-121
• Phoenix Suns (1/16 – away): lost 119-117
• Milwaukee Bucks (1/14 – away): lost 143-142 (OT)
• Philadelphia 76ers (1/12 – away): lost 112-93

Last Five Games for the Golden State Warriors

• Atlanta Hawks (1/24 – home): won 134-112
• Memphis Grizzlies (1/15 – away): lost 116-107
• Milwaukee Bucks (1/13 – away): lost 129-118
• Chicago Bulls (1/12 – away): won 140-131
• New Orleans Pelicans (1/10 – home): won 141-105

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction and Picks

Kings vs Warriors Betting Analysis and Prediction

Other than two five-game win streaks, the Warriors have not done well with stringing consecutive wins together. In fact, Golden State has not strung together consecutive wins this season other than during those two streaks.

Since the last win of that second five-game streak, the Warriors are 0-4 SU in games following a win, and they are 8-10 SU following a win overall this season.

The Kings aren’t much better in that regard this season, as they are just 12-11 SU following a win.

It is worth noting, however, that the Warriors are 12-6 ATS in games following a win, which puts them joint-second with the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-10) in ATS success percentage in games following a win.

In 11 of those games, the Warriors have been an underdog, and their SU record is an abysmal 2-9. Their ATS record? 10-1, which includes covers in both of their previous games as a home underdog in a game following a win.

If you are betting on the Warriors, you may be further encouraged by the fact that the Kings are 9-9 SU and 8-10* ATS this season when favored by four or fewer points, including 3-5 SU and ATS* when favored on the road by four or fewer points.

• *: Some books had the Kings slightly favored at Philadelphia on January 12, while others had the 76ers with a slight spread edge.

Ultimately, two things tip the scales for me here. The Kings have covered in consecutive games as a favorite only three times this season, and the Warriors have been fairly solid when playing with no rest this season, coming in at 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS.

Prediction: Warriors to cover and win

Best Player Props for Kings vs Warriors

All picks listed below are courtesy of BetOnline and Bovada. Bet these plays at Bovada and get a 75% WELCOME BONUS if your first deposit is via cryptocurrency and/or bet them at BetOnline and get a 100% BONUS on your first cryptocurrency deposit.

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) over 16.5 points (+105 at Bovada)

On November 28, Kuminga had zero points in 10 minutes in a 124-123 loss at Sacramento.

Since that game, Kuminga has scored in double figures in 22 of 23 games. Currently, he is on the best scoring stretch of his NBA career. In his last four games, Kuminga has averaged 24.3 PPG (and 7.0 RPG), shot 66.1% (39 of 59) from the field, and scored 20+ points in each game.

Going with the hot hand doesn’t always work, but that risk won’t deter me here.

Keegan Murray over 5.5 rebounds (-132 at Bovada)

I am somewhat hesitant to touch any scoring props for the Kings after getting burned by Kevin Huerter the other night in a game in which Harrison Barnes (32 points) was the only Sacramento player to score more than 14 points.

But even though there’s some juice here, I like the value with Murray to hit over 5.5 rebounds. He has six or more rebounds in six of his last ten games, and in the two previous meetings with the Warriors this season, he pulled down seven and six boards.

De’Aaron Fox over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 at BetOnline & Bovada)

Fox is averaging 27.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 5.6 APG this season, but in January, he is averaging 21.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG, and 4.5 APG. His shooting percentages are also lower this month (41.7 FG% and 35.7% 3PT) than for the season (46.5% FG and 39.0% 3PT), and in Monday’s win over the Hawks, he had his second-lowest output of the season (12 points, 5 of 16 FG, 0 of 5 3PT, 2 of 3 FT) and failed to make a three for just the second time all season.

But I’m backing him to have a big night against the Warriors, even if the Kings don’t come out with the win. On two days of rest this season, he has averaged 32.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 9.0 APG in four games.

In two previous appearances against the Dubs this season, he put up 39 points (14 of 28 FG, 5 of 9 3PT, 6 of 7 FT), four rebounds, and four assists and 29 points (9 of 20 FG, 2 of 8 3PT, 9 of 17 FT), nine rebounds, and seven assists.

Also, he is averaging 27.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 5.3 APG on the road, 29.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, and 6.0 APG in 22 games against fellow Western Conference teams, and 30.8 PPG, 4.7 RPG, and 5.6 APG in nine games against Pacific Division rivals.

If you are interested in an extra sprinkle, Fox over 5.5 assists (+110 at Bovada) and over 2.5 made threes (-130 at Bovada) are both worth a look.

There are only three teams (8.0 APG vs OKC, 7.6 APG vs Denver, and 6.9 vs Dallas) Fox averages more assists per game than he does against the Warriors (6.7 APG in 18 games). Also, he is averaging 3.8 made threes on the road, 3.4 made threes against division foes, and 3.3 against Western Conference teams.

Where to Bet on the NBA

Many of the top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of NBA odds throughout the year.

In addition to being able to bet on 2024 NBA championship odds, you can make daily NBA picks on odds for every game all season long, including NBA playoffs odds.

Also, you can bet on the All-Star Game, NBA Draft odds, and the major awards like NBA MVP, NBA Rookie of the Year, and more at most reputable sports betting sites.

There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for NBA betting. Here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:

• BetDSI
• BetOnline
• BetUS
• Bookmaker
• Bovada
• MyBookie
• Sportsbetting.ag

If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.

Interested in Learning More About NBA Betting?

Looking to learn more about the ins and outs of betting on the NBA? Check out our NBA betting guide. Also, if you’d like to learn more about NBA player prop bets, check out our NBA player props guide.