Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds & Best Bets | NBA Picks Today (3/14): Expect Fireworks at Paycom Center

Today’s Mavericks vs Thunder prediction and NBA best bets are brought to you by Bovada. Bovada is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from the NBA to the UFC and everything in between.

The Dallas Mavericks (38-28) put their four-game winning streak on the line when they face the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-20) in the second of two NBA on TNT matchups scheduled for Thursday, March 14.

Final from OKC pic.twitter.com/66X7V09o18

— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) March 13, 2024

The Thunder need a bounce-back performance after falling 121-111 to the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Mavericks were just in action last night, picking up a 109-99 win over the Golden State Warriors as Kyrie Irving led the way with a 23-point, 10-assist double-double.

Could one of these teams represent the West in the 2023-24 NBA Finals? Potentially. Bovada lists Oklahoma City as having the third-best Western Conference Finals odds (+800) while Dallas currently sits sixth (+1400).

In the meantime, let’s keep our attention on tonight’s Mavericks vs. Thunder clash and the betting opportunities it features.

Mavericks vs Thunder NBA Betting Tonight (3/14)

Mavericks vs Thunder Matchup Information

• Matchup: Dallas Mavericks (38-28, 18-13 Away) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (45-20, 26-7Home)
• Venue & Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, OK)
• Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024
• Game Time: 10 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Mavericks vs. Thunder: TNT

Thunder vs Mavericks Odds & Spread

Thunder vs. Mavericks odds are courtesy of Bovada as of Thursday, March 14 at 10:10 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Mavericks vs Thunder Spread

• Dallas Mavericks +10.5 (-110)
• Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 (-110)

Thunder vs Mavericks Over/Under

• Over 235 Points (-115)
• Under 235 Points (-105)

Mavericks vs Thunder Moneyline

• Dallas Mavericks (+375)
• Oklahoma City Thunder (-525)

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NBA Best Bets and Picks Tonight

Looking to get in on even more NBA picks today? Check out our NBA Picks page for consensus picks for every 2023-24 season game.

You can also check out:

• NBA betting odds
• NBA news, futures betting, and best bets predictions
• How to bet on the NBA
• 2023-24 NBA Finals Prediction & Dark Horse Pick
• 2024 NBA MVP Odds & Picks

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Mavericks vs Thunder NBA Betting Trends

• Dallas is 4-2 straight up in its last six road games vs. Oklahoma City.
• Oklahoma City is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 home games.
• Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last six games played in March.
• Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. Dallas.
• The total hit the Over in four of Dallas’ last five road games.
• The total hit the Over in each of Oklahoma City’s last six games vs. Dallas.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction & NBA Picks Today (3/14): OKC Gets Revenge

The Mavericks and Thunder have already clashed twice this season with both meetings resulting in high-scoring affairs. Oklahoma City notched a huge 126-120 victory at American Airlines Center back in December before Dallas got revenge with a 146-111 win at home just over a month ago.

Having said that, this is the first meeting of the schedule at Paycom Center where the Thunder are 26-7 SU/22-11 ATS this season. In fact, they were on a nine-game winning streak at home — outscoring opponents by 17.2 PPG — before their loss to the Pacers.

Even though the Mavericks are 4-2 SU across their last six trips to OKC, they came up short when they last visited Paycom Center with a 120-109 loss on Jan.

But even then, that was more than a year ago. The Mavericks are one of the hotter teams at the moment, winning four games in a row ahead of tonight’s contest, which includes holding their last two foes to fewer than 100 points.

Will the Mavericks find a way to extend their winning streak tonight? 

This game could come down to which offense is more efficient this evening. They’re two of the highest-scoring teams in the Association with the Thunder averaging 120.7 PPG (3rd) while the Mavericks tally 119.0 (6th).

Oklahoma City is the more accurate team, though, shooting 50.6% from the floor (2nd) and 39.4% from deep (1st), whereas Dallas owns a 48.3 FG% (12th) and 37.1 3P% (12th).

The Thunder also have the edge on defense, where they allow 113.0 PPG (13th) compared to the Mavericks surrendering 117.5 PPG (23rd). OKC also won’t make it easy for the visitors to shoot the ball considering that it leads the NBA with 6.7 blocks per game.

Additionally, the Mavericks might be without Luka Doncic, who exited Wednesday’s game with hamstring soreness and is now questionable. For reference, Dallas is 3-7 SU in the last 10 games that Doncic has missed.

Will the Thunder’s superior defensive play be the difference-maker tonight? 

Whether Doncic plays or doesn’t, I’m taking the Thunder to win at home. They’ve been terrific at Paycom Stadium all season and they’ll be desperate to get revenge on the Mavs for the last encounter. Look for the Thunder to start this game strong before scoring at a rate that the Mavericks can’t keep up with.

Furthermore, I also like the Over on the 235-point total more than I do the spread. These teams step up offensively whenever they meet, proven by their last six encounters averaging 238.2 PPG with the Over being hit each time. Let’s not forget that the Mavericks and Thunder averaged 246.5 PPG in their first two clashes of the season, too.

In other words, expect fireworks in OKC tonight.

Mavericks vs Thunder NBA Prediction: OKC wins

Best Mavericks vs Thunder NBA Bet: o235 Total Points (-115)

Get 50% up to $750 on your Mavericks vs Thunder NBA picks today at Bovada

Best Mavericks vs Thunder NBA Prop Bet (3/14)

With the way he’s been playing lately, I’m taking Chet Holmgren to score 15+ points for the best Mavericks vs. Thunder player prop at Paycom Center.

When it comes to this prop, the former second-overall pick has been money lately. Holmgren is averaging 17.2 points on .540/.419/.821 splits over his last 18 games, finishing with at least 15 points 12 times — a 75.0% success rate. He’s also 7-3 on this prop in his last 10 home outings, tallying 16.0 PPG along the way.

Considering how the Mavericks surrender the ninth-most points in the paint this season, I won’t be shocked if Holmgren exceeds expectations again.

Best Mavericks vs Thunder Prop Bet: Chet Holmgren to Record 15+ Points (-150)

Get 50% up to $750 on your Mavericks vs Thunder NBA picks today at Bovada

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