Tampa Bay Downs Picks: Tampa Bay Stakes (01/31/2026)
Written by: Chris Adams
Published: Sat Jan 31, 2026, 7:00 am ET
Read Time: 7 minutes
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The racing action from Tamp Bay Downs on Saturday features the Tampa Bay Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Tamp Bay Downs picks for the entire card!
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Tampa Bay Downs Full Card Analysis
Tampa Bay Downs Picks: Tampa Bay Stakes (01/31/2026)
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:25 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $18.5k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #3 NYIKOS (2-1): Prime Win Player. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #10 PLAYING WITH FIRE (6-1): Fringe Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #7 FIRST ACT (8-1): Fringe Contender. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
- #6 PARTY ON RUFUS (12-1): Underneath. Trainer's horses have been running. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 3 – 10 – 7 – 6
The Plays
Win: #3 at 5-2
Exacta: 3 / 10,7
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:55 PM ET; Claiming $22.3k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #6 SILVER ORE (4-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
- #5 MESSI THE GREAT (8-1): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #7 MY SATISFACTION (10-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Could wear these ones down late.
- #8 STEAM POWERED (7-2): Major Player. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.
Selections: 6 – 5 – 7 – 8
The Plays
Win: #6 at 9-2
Exacta Box: 6 / 5 / 7
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:25 PM ET; Claiming $19k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 14 runners.
- #5 HOLA HERMOSA (7-2): Top pick. Decent form of late. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #4 GOLD STAMP (6-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #8 BAHA SECRET (9-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Likely in the mix early.
- #12 ADIOS TIPSY (5-1): Contender. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.
Selections: 5 – 4 – 8 – 12
The Plays
Win: #5 at 4-1
Exacta Box: 5 / 4 / 8
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:55 PM ET; Claiming $19k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
- #8 PEDRO NUNES (3-2): Prime Win Player. Barn has been solid. Race may setup for this runner.
- #6 GOD WITH US (9-2): Contender. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Speed figures match this group well.
- #4 FEDERAL EXCHANGE (15-1): Underneath. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #1 DEVILISH DESIRE (20-1): Underneath. Shouldn't be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Trainer's horses have been running.
Selections: 8 – 6 – 4 – 1
The Plays
Win: #8 at 3-2
Exacta: 8 / 6,4
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:25 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $23.5k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #2 GIGGITY (2-1): Top pick. Looks good based on the 73 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 PEPPAPETE (7-2): Major Player. Well bred for this race. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #6 THEY CALL ME SUE (4-1): Major Player. Top connections on the circuit with Marin and Wilson. Should sit a good trip.
- #4 JUDY CHOP (12-1): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.
Selections: 2 – 8 – 6 – 4
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 2 / 8 / 6
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:55 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $55k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #10 PRINCESS VEKOMA (9-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Looks good based on the 79 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #3 SAMMYTRINADAMO (4-1): Major Player. Likely to take a step forward. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #1 CURRENT YIELD (3-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
- #11 MY ANGEL MARIE (10-1): Fringe Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 10 – 3 – 1 – 11
The Plays
Win: #10 at 5-1
Exacta Box: 10 / 3 / 1
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:25 PM ET; Tampa Bay Stakes $175k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #6 WIN FOR THE MONEY (7-5): Best bet of the card. Proven competitor at this configuration. Solid closing kick. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #3 QUATROCENTO (5-2): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #1 SIMULATE (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Potential to kick home late.
- #7 TOM'S MAGIC (3-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 6 – 3 – 1 – 7
The Plays
Win: #6 at 7-5
Exacta Box: 6 / 3 / 1
Pick 3 (races 7-9): #6 with #9,7,10 with #11,5,1
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 3:55 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $55.5k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #9 DISRUPTOR (6-5): Top pick. Should still have something in the tank late. Should be able to work out a trip.
- #7 SWAGGISH (8-1): Major Player. Camacho puts this one in with a chance.
- #10 LITTLE THUNDER (5-2): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
- #1 EMPIRE SKY (15-1): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 9 – 7 – 10 – 1
The Plays
Win: #9 at 6-5
Exacta Box: 9 / 7 / 10
Tamp Bay Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:25 PM ET; Endeavour Stakes $175k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 11 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #11 PUBLIC DEFENDER (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Solid closing kick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
- #5 AUSSIE GIRL (7-2): Major Player. Curtis puts this one in with a chance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #1 CANDY QUEST (3-1): Major Player. Could wear these ones down late. Previous success in similar race types.
- #8 CHARLIE'S WISH (15-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 11 – 5 – 1 – 8
The Plays
Win: #11 at 6-1
Exacta Box: 11 / 5 / 1
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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