(7/4) MLB | The Daily Dinger Report — Independence Day Dingers
Written by: Varun Sharma
Published: Sat Jul 04, 2026, 5:11 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Happy Fourth of July! It's Independence Day in the United States of America and we've got a full slate of MLB to help celebrate. I've got two hitters I'm locked in on tonight and I'm hoping both can bring it home in the name of freedom.
The cheat sheet makes it a lot easier when I run through the stats I'm looking at and as always, hit me up on X if you've got more questions.
Dinger Cheat Sheet
- BA — Batting Average
- oBA — Opponent Batting Average
- xBA — Expected BA
- SLG — Slugging Percentage
- ISO — Isolated Power
- wOBA — Weighted On-Base Average
- HH% — Hard Hit Rate
- BRL% — Barrel Rate
- HR/9 — Home Runs per 9 innings
- XBH — Extra Base Hit
- RBI — Runs Batted In
Dinger Counter: 10-22; +5.85 units
Today's Dingers
Bobby Witt Jr. Home Run (+350) | Lucky Rebel
Let's start it off at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. To help celebrate the Fourth of July, it's Bobby Witt Jr. Bobblehead night at Kauffman and conditions couldn't be any better for him to hit one deep.
This will be Witt's fifth time playing on the Fourth of July and just the second time he'll do it in front of the home crowd. Witt's hitting .529 in these four games, recording 2+ hits in 3 of the four and recording a home run in 2 of the games.
In the one game at home, Witt had 3 hits; a single, a double and a home run.
On the bump for the Phillies is Jesús Luzardo. He's got 4.45 ERA this year and he's given up 9 total home runs; 8 being to right handed bats. He's letting righties hit .277 on the year with a .429 SLG.
Witt's hitting .329 against lefties this year with a .532 SLG and 62% HH. At home he's hitting .311 with 9 home runs, a .555 SLG and 55% HH. Luzardo uses a heavy mix of his 4-seam fastball and change up against righties and Witt's been crushing both.
Witt's got a 64% HH against 4-seam fastballs and that climbs to 68% against lefties.
Max Muncy Home Run (+350) | Lucky Rebel
The Fourth of July was a holiday made for us big boys. Max Muncy is exactly that, one of the big boys.
Muncy's hitting .270 this year with 17 home runs and a .515 SLG. Nine of his 17 home runs have come at Dodger Stadium and tonight the Padres will send out the struggling Griffin Canning to face this Dodger lineup.
Canning's got a 7.09 ERA this year and that jumps to 8.41 on the road. He's giving up 1.8 HR/9 on the road this year and all 8 home runs he's allowed have been to left handed bats.
Canning's allowing lefties to hit .315 this year with a, .583 SLG, 17% BRL and 54% HH. Muncy's hitting .26 against righties and 12 of his 17 home runs have come against right handed pitchers.
Canning's throwing a combo of his fastball/change-up at a 61% rate against left handed batters and his slider about 21% of the time. Muncy's hitting all 3 pitches for power and has a HH north of 60% against both the fastball and slider.
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