AL MVP: Odds & Predictions | April 29, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Published: Tue Apr 29, 2025, 1:10 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
mlb
AL MVP: Aaron Judge may have the MVP race locked down in the eyes of most, but value still exists further down the board. One name stands out early as a sleeper pick with serious upside. Let us talk about Alex Bregman and why he deserves a look.
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Month: 96-134-4 (+10.6u)
Last week: 22-39-2 (+2.42u)
AL MVP Winner Odds
Is there any value in Alex Bregman to win AL MVP?
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- Aaron Judge: -600
- Bobby Witt Jr.: +900
- Mike Trout: +2800
- Gunnar Henderson: +4000
- Wyatt Langford: +5000
- Jose Ramirez: +6600
- Corey Seager: +6600
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: +6600
- Julio Rodriguez: +6600
- Tyler Soderstrom: +6600
AL MVP Winner Best Bet
Best Bet: Alex Bregman AL MVP (+10000) odds via BetOnline
I do not think anyone is getting in the way of Aaron Judge winning another MVP award—unless he suffers a serious injury. Of course, no one is wishing harm on one of the greatest hitters of this era, but there has to be some value on the board somewhere, right? I believe there is, and it comes in the form of one of the newest faces on the Boston Red Sox: Alex Bregman.
The third baseman has been a dream addition for Boston, batting .319 with a .937 OPS. He already has 37 hits, 11 doubles, five home runs, and 22 RBI, making a clear impact on nearly every game this season.
At 100 to 1 to win the MVP, it is hard for me to ignore the value based on his early success. I also do not love most of the prices above him. Mike Trout has not been sharp, and neither have Gunnar Henderson, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., or Jose Ramirez. All are elite talents, but when it comes to value, Bregman stands out.
He is just getting started. Historically, his OPS and slugging percentage rise from May through August. For an early-season longshot, Bregman is a sharp look and an even better sprinkle.
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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