Guardians vs. Yankees: Odds & Predictions | June 4, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Wed Jun 04, 2025, 1:57 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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Guardians vs. Yankees: The Bronx Bombers are back on our radar for one reason—total bases. With a favorable matchup and red-hot bats, the Yankees lineup is set up to do damage. We are locking in their team total bases prop at 14.5 against a hittable starter.
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Last Month: 89-147 (+11.29u)
Last Week: 21-29 (+5.92u)
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds
Is Aaron Judge due for another massive outing?
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Run Line
Guardians: +1.5 (-124)
Yankees: -1.5 (+104)
Total
Over: 9 (-103)
Under: 9 (-117)
Moneyline
Guardians: +169
Yankees: -188
Guardians vs. Yankees Best Bet
Another day, another matchup where you do not need to worry about a side or a total. We are simply backing the New York Yankees bats and taking the over 14.5 on their total bases prop.
The Yankees offense has been piling up bases all season, ranked second overall with an average of 15.83 per game. Cleveland, on the other hand, has allowed the sixth most total bases on the road, giving up 14.10 per game.
Today, New York faces Guardians starter Luis Ortiz, who holds a poor rating on Batters-Box. He ranks poorly in average hitter matchup ISO, hard contact, and strikeout percentage. On the road this season, Ortiz has struggled mightily with a 6.39 ERA and a .280 opponent batting average. He is allowing five hits and 1.5 extra-base hits per start.
The Yankees lineup features four elite rated hitters, two great, one above the league strikeout rate, and three above the league ground ball rate. I have had my eye on Ortiz all season, actively looking for ways to fade him. Backing the Yankees offense feels like the right move. With Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, Jazz Chisholm, and Austin Wells all in elite matchups, 14.5 total bases seems very doable.
Go Yanks!
Best Bet: Yankees Team Total Over 14.5 Bases (-120) odds via BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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