Chasing Six — NFL Expert Anytime Touchdown Picks & Predictions (10/25)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Sat Oct 24, 2026, 10:37 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
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-4.5
-110
43.5
-105u
-220
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+4.5
-110
43
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+186
Tomorrow's National TEs Day in the NFL and you know what that means. It means the big boys are going to score some touchdowns.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.
Today's Touchdowns
- Tyler Higbee Anytime Touchdown (+230)
- Tucker Kraft Anytime Touchdown (+175)
- Trey McBride Anytime Touchdown (+135)
Colby Parkinson Anytime Touchdown (+230) | Lucky Rebel
The Los Angeles Rams are beat up, they've lost back to back games and it looks like this week they'll be without both of their top two wideouts. Davante Adams suffered a ruptured hamstring last week and Puka Nacua's dealing with a calf injury.
This week the Rams travel to Sin City to take on the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders rank 26th in points allowed, 26th in opponent redzone efficiency, 27th in opponent 1st downs and 30th in yards per play allowed.
The defense has given up 27+ points in 4 straight games and they've given up 18 touchdowns in the redzone. The Raiders have given up the 3rd most touchdowns to opposing TEs this year (6) and with the depleted receiver room for the Rams, I'm going right to Colby Parkinson.
Parkinson saw 6 targets last week, 3 of which came in the redzone. He's got 13 targets all year, 5 have come in the redzone and those 5 redzone targets are more than the rest of the TEs on this team; combined.
Parkinson's target share goes from 6.7% on the year, to 16.7% in the redzone. He's the guy that Stafford's looking at once they get down into the redzone and it might be because of his 6'7/266-pound frame.
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Tucker Kraft Anytime Touchdown (+175) | Lucky Rebel
National TEs Day and you're surprised we're betting on Tucker Kraft?
Kraft hasn't looked like the same guy we watched tear up the field last year, but this week's matchup with the Lions might be the perfect slump buster. Detroit's given up the most yards to opposing TEs this year and the most touchdowns to the position.
Detroit's played one fewer game than a majority of other teams. The Lions rank 30th in points allowed (29.6), 31st in opponent redzone efficiency (81%), 32nd in pass yards allowed and 32nd in opponent first downs.
Detroit's given up 18 total touchdowns in the redzone and 9 have gone to opposing TEs. Kraft's scored a touchdown in 3 of his L4 games against the Lions and he's scored in both games he's played here at Ford Field.
Kraft's seen a reduction in his targets this year, especially in the redzone and it's because he's been plagued by drops. If you go back to last year, Kraft leads the team in redzone target share and redzone 1st read target share. He lead the Packers in yards per route run against man coverage and targets per route run.
Kraft's got 4 targets from inside the 10-yard line, but he's got just 1 touchdown to show for it. That changes this week.
Trey McBride Anytime Touchdown (+135) | Lucky Rebel
It's National's TE day, of course I'm betting on the All-Time single season reception leader amongst TEs. Trey McBride is an anomaly when it comes to the TE position. He's fast, he's a great route runner, he can get yards after the catch and he's absolute weapon in the redzone.
Last year, McBride set the single season reception record for TEs with 126 catches. He'd finish with his second straight 1,100+ yard season and he caught 11 touchdowns in the process.
This year he's averaging 8.2 receptions per game, he's seeing a 26.4% target share and he's caught 3 touchdowns already. Last week against the Rams he finished with 7 catches but just 53 yards and no touchdowns. This week the Cardinals host the Broncos and while the mathcup is tough, it's even tougher outside.
The Cardinals are only converting 47.8% of their redzone drives into touchdowns this year and that's something that has to change. McBride was their best redzone weapon last year and they need that same version of him to show up this week.
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