Jets vs Bills Prediction, Odds, Spread & Picks | NFL Week 11: Whose Losing Skid Ends?

Devon Platana

Written by: Devon Platana

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Jets vs Bills Prediction, Odds, Spread & Picks | NFL Week 11


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Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season is upon us, bringing 14 exciting matchups to the table in the coming days. This week’s lineup features several rivalry games, including an AFC East collision between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET.

It’s no secret that these rivals could use a win this weekend, having both lost back-to-back outings. The Jets most recently fell 16-12 to the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday Night Football while the Bills ate a 24-22 loss to the Denver Broncos under the Monday night spotlight.

Unsurprisingly, the duo’s slumps have caused their divisional odds to take a hit. Buffalo currently sits at +300 odds (No. 2) to win the AFC East while the Jets are much further behind at +1400 (No. 3).

Continue scrolling for the rest of this preview, which includes a Jets vs Bills prediction, the latest Week 11 odds, and the best bets you can make ahead of Sunday.

Jets vs Bills Preview — NFL Week 11

Jets vs Bills Matchup Information

  • Matchup: New York Jets (4-5, 2-2 Away) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-5, 4-2 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Jets vs. Bills Week 11 TV Channel: CBS

Jets vs Bills Odds & Spread

NFL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Tuesday, Nov. 14 at 10:45 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Jets vs Bills Spread

  • New York Jets +7 (-105)
  • Buffalo Bills -7 (-115)

Jets vs Bills Over/Under

  • Over 40 Points (-115)
  • Under 40 Points (-105)

Jets vs Bills Moneyline

  • New York Jets +265
  • Buffalo Bills -330

Updayed Jets vs Bills Odds & Spread

Updated odds as of 11:40 a.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 17.

Jets vs Bills Spread

  • New York Jets +8.5 (-110)
  • Buffalo Bills -8.5 (-110)

Jets vs Bills Over/Under

  • Over 39 Points (-110)
  • Under 39 Points (-110)

Jets vs Bills Moneyline

  • New York Jets +320
  • Buffalo Bills -430

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Jets vs Bills Betting Trends

  • The Jets are 2-7 straight up in their last nine games vs. Buffalo.
  • Buffalo is 12-6 straight up in its last 18 games played on a Sunday.
  • The Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played in November.
  • Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last six games vs. the Jets.
  • The total has hit the Under in four of the Jets’ last five games.
  • The total has hit the Under in four of Buffalo’s last five home games.

Jets vs Bills Prediction & Best Bet: NFL Week 11

Sunday marks the second Jets vs. Bills matchup of the 2023 campaign. The rivals previously met way back in Week 1, resulting in a 22-16 overtime win for New York as Xavier Gipson was the hero with a 65-yard punt return touchdown in the extra frame.

It was also the game that Jets QB Aaron Rodgers suffered his Achilles tear, putting a massive dent into New York’s playoff outlook.

Naturally, the Bills will be looking for revenge seeing as how that Week 1 loss seemed to have set to tone for the year. They haven’t been able to get much going consistently since that loss, highlighted by a 1-3 record in the last four games.

In fact, Buffalo’s struggles got to the point where offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey was fired on Tuesday. Quarterback coach Joe Brady will take over the OC duties in the meantime.

Jets vs Bills Prediction, Odds, Spread & Picks | NFL Week 11
Will the Bills look better following changes to the coaching staff earlier this week?

Speaking of offense, the Jets haven’t been able to put up many points lately. Robert Saleh’s team is averaging a minuscule 9.3 points in regulation in the last three games and hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 8 — a span of 12 quarters.

Jets QB Zach Wilson continues to struggle to take over games. The third-year signal-caller has only made one touchdown pass in his last five starts, playing to a 76.1 passer rating along the way.

Wilson, who’s known to be mistake-prone, will likely be under pressure all night long. When it comes to pestering quarterbacks, the Bills rank second in sacks, second in QB knockdowns, and third in pressures.

Jets vs Bills Prediction, Odds, Spread & Picks | NFL Week 11
Will Jets QB Zach Wilson crumble under the Bills’ defensive pressure?

On one hand, I fully expect the Bills to bounce back. This was supposed to be a must-win season, meaning they can’t afford a third straight loss. They’ve been solid at Highmark Stadium this year, which should provide them with enough of a boost to overcome their AFC East rivals.

On the other hand, I’m opting to take the Jets on the spread. The Bills’ recent struggles make them tough to trust with a 7-point spread — especially when you consider they haven’t won by eight or more points since Week 4.

With Buffalo also being 2-4 ATS in its last six games against New York, I see this game being closer than oddsmakers anticipate.

Jets vs Bills Prediction: BUF wins

Bet: NYJ +7 (-105 on Bovada)

Jets vs Bills Best Player Prop: NFL Week 11

After scanning through the options, I like the idea of a Dalton Kincaid anytime touchdown as the best Jets vs. Bills prop.

After a slow start to the year, Kincaid has begun to heat up. The rookie tight end is averaging 68 receiving yards over his four previous games and has found the end zone in two of the last three. He now gets the privilege of facing the Jets, who are tied with the New Orleans Saints for most TDs allowed to tight ends this season (6).

With Kincaid clearly becoming one of Josh Allen’s favorite weapons, he’s a threat to score on any given Sunday.

Bet: Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown (+185 on Bovada)

Jets vs Bills Week 11 FAQ

When is Jets vs Bills?

  • The Jets and Bills will collide on Sunday, Nov. 19, 2023.

Where is Jets vs Bills?

  • The Jets and Bills will play each other at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.

What time does Jets vs Bills start?

  • Kickoff for the upcoming NYJ vs. BUF matchup is slated for 4:25 p.m. ET.

How can I watch Jets vs Bills?

  • Jets and Bills fans can tune in to CBS for Sunday’s matchup.

How to Bet on Jets vs Bills

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Devon Platana
Devon Platana

Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.

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