NFL Must Bet Player Props for Week 7: Sunday Air Attack
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Sun Oct 22, 2023, 10:45 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Last week we saw Jakobi Meyers and Raheem Mostert come through for the gang, but Nacua failed to come through for the sweep. Player props have been good to us, so let's keep vibing.
We've got a huge Sunday night matchup between former college teammates Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts. Both quarterbacks face off for the first time, both at the helm of two powerhouse offenses.
Big board with plenty of props here in Week 7, let's get into our favourites.
P. Nacua o64.5 Rec Yards (-114) via Bovada
Yep, we're going right back to him. Despite him selling the sweep last week, Nacua has been putting up crazy numbers in his rookie year, even with Kupp back in the lineup.
In the two weeks with Kupp back on the field, Nacua has still seen a 29% and 30% target share across the two games.
Last week Stafford threw a season low 24 times, in a fairly easy win over the Cardinals, 24-9. Of those 24 pass attemtpts, 16 went to the duo of Kupp (9) and Nacua (7).
The week prior, Stafford threw 37 times with 23 of those attempts going to Kupp (12) and Nacua (11); with both receivers hitting their respective overs.
Unfortunately last week Nacua was only able to secure 4 catches for 26 yards, with a dropped ball in the endzone. It was an off night for Puka.
With the injury to study running back Kyren Williams, the Rams will be forced to lean on the pass game more. The Rams will have backup Royce Freeman, and recently re-signed Darrell Henderson splitting carries.
The Rams pass on 61% of their offensive plays, and that numbers jumped to 66% at home this season. Sean McVay puts the ball in the hands of his best players, so with no Williams, expect him to lean more on the pass.
The Steelers rank 23rd in rec yards allowed to WRs, and have given up multiple big games to the wide receiver position.
Brandon Aiyuk had 129, Amari Cooper 90, Davante Adamas 172, Jakobi Meyers 85, Nico Collins 168, and Zay Flowers with 73 in the Steelers last game.
P. Nacua o64.5 Rec Yards (-114) via Bovada
A. Brown Anytime Touchdown (+110) via Bovada
AJ Brown is having a season. Over his last 4 games he's averaging 141 YPG, and 7.8 rec/game; all on 11 targets/game.
He's got two touchdowns on the season, both came against the Commanders in Week 4; which was the last time the Eagles played at Lincoln Financial. Last season, 8 of his 11 touchdowns came in Philly.
This Eagles, Dolphins matchup is more than just two of the top teams in the NFL going head to head. We've got former college teammates, Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa facing off for the first time in their careers.
Both guys played fo Nick Saban at Alabama, and without getting too much into it, Tua was Hurts' backup until the National Championship game. Tua came in at halftime down 13-0, threw 3 touchdowns, and won the game in overtime 26-24.
After that, Tua was the starter and Hurts became his backup. Before moving on to Oklahoma a year later.
Tonight's game has the makings off a shootout, and in a game that should be filled with offense, we're taking the hot hand.
A. Brown Anytime Touchdown (+110) via Bovada
K. Allen Anytime Touchdown (+140) via Bovada
One more touchdown scorer. Allen has four touchdowns this season, and has scored in 3 of the 5 games so far this season.
Last week Allen had a touchdown on the opening drive, but saw mostly frustration for the rest of the game. Herbert missed Allen on some easy throws that could've easily turned into six.
We could see the frustration on Allen's face, even though he finished with 7 receptions on 11 targets for 85 yards and a touchdown.
This week they face off against division rival Kansas City, in Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs defense has been elite all year, only surrendering on average 14.7 ppg (2nd).
The Chiefs are also only allowing 183.8 pass yards/game and have yet to give up a 300 yard or 3 touchdown game.
Despite this tough Chiefs' defense, the over still sits at 47.5, 2nd only to Miami/Philadelphia in Week 7.
The Chargers defense has been abysmal this year and if they hope to stay in this game with the Chiefs, they'll have to put up points.
Allen ranks 1st on the Chargers in redzone targets (8), and the Chiefs have given up 7 touchdown this year through the air.
In 4 games against the Chiefs, with Herbert as his quarterback, Allen has averaged 79.5 yards/game on 6.5 rec/game and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 matchups.
For these odds, you need to sweat it out with me.
K. Allen Anytime Touchdown (+140) via Bovada
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You may know me as ‘VSaaauce’. I’ve been a die hard hoops fan my entire life. I’ve been betting on the NBA/NCAAB/NFL/MLB for six years now, each year gaining more and more knowledge about being a profitable handicapper. I’m eager to learn, and eager to pass on everything I’ve gained over the last few years. I started my Twitter page four years ago, and this community makes me so thankful I did. Outside of sports and handicapping, I enjoy traveling, hoopin, a strong espresso and I’m currently studying to obtain my MD. I’m all about the vibes, good vibes only. If that sounds like you, follow me on 'X' @VSaaauce.
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