Bruins vs Lightning Prediction, Odds & Picks Tonight (Nov. 20): Boston Keeps Foot on Gas

Devon Platana

Written by: Devon Platana

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Bruins vs Lightning Prediction, Odds & Picks Tonight (Nov. 20)


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The 2023-24 NHL season continues on Monday, Nov. 20 with a huge seven-game slate. While there isn’t a shortage of big-time matchups, fewer are bigger than the Atlantic Division clash between the Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning at 7 p.m. ET.

There just doesn’t seem to be any stopping the Bruins, who improved to 4-0-1 in their last five games with Saturday’s 5-2 win over the Montreal Canadiens. Meanwhile, the Lightning have seemingly hit their stride following back-to-back wins over the Chicago Blackhawks and Edmonton Oilers.

When it comes to the divisional futures odds, the Bruins are Bovada’s clear-cut favorite to win the Atlantic Division at -145 odds. At the same time, the Lightning sit further back at a distant +1600 (No. 4).

If you’re looking for a Bruins vs Lightning prediction, this is the article for you. Keep scrolling to find out which bets you should be making ahead of tonight’s clash.

Bruins vs Lightning Tonight (Nov. 20)

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Boston Bruins (13-1-2, 6-1-1 Away) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (8-6-4, 5-2-2 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Amalie Arena (Tampa, FL)
  • Date: Monday, Nov. 20, 2023
  • Game Time: 7 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Bruins vs. Lightning TV Info: ESPN+

Bruins vs Lightning Odds

NHL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Monday, Nov. 20 at 10:39 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Bruins vs Lightning Spread

  • Boston Bruins -1.5 (+175)
  • Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-210)

Bruins vs Lightning Over/Under

  • Over 6.5 Goals (-108)
  • Under 6.5 Goals (-112)

Bruins vs Lightning Moneyline

  • Boston Bruins -145
  • Buffalo Sabres +125

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Bruins vs Lightning Betting Trends

  • Boston is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games vs. Tampa Bay.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-9 straight up in its last 12 Atlantic Division matchups.
  • The total has hit the Over in four of Boston’s last six games.
  • The total has hit the Over in seven of Tampa Bay’s last eight games on a Monday.
  • The total has hit the Under in five of the last six Boston-Tampa Bay matchups.

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction & Pick (Nov. 20)

For as much success as the Lightning have experienced in recent years, the Bruins have been a constant thorn in their side.

After all, Tampa Bay only has one victory in its last seven meetings with Boston dating back to January 2022. The Bruins outscored the Lightning 22-13 over that stretch with Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak doing most of the damage, racking up seven points apiece.

If the Lightning are going to pull off the upset, they need to find a way to shut the Bruins’ top players down. That’s easier said than done, though, given the home team’s goaltending situation with Andrei Vasilevskiy still on the LTIR.

As a result, all signs point to the Bolts starting Jonas Johansson again. The Swedish netminder has been extremely inconsistent as of late, finishing with a save percentage of .875 or worse in six of his last seven starts.

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction, Odds & Picks Tonight (Nov. 20)
Can Lightning G Jonas Johansson hold the fort against the Bruins’ elite attack?

Meanwhile, the Bruins are getting all-star play from Linus Ullmark between the pipes. The reigning Vezina Trophy winner is 6-1-1 in eight starts thus far, backstopping his way to a .928 SV% and a 2.23 goals-against average.

It’s also worth noting that Ulmmark has given the Lightning a lot of trouble, going 4-1-0 with a .935 SV% and a 1.99 GAA in his last five meetings with the divisional foes.

Amalie Arena also hasn’t been all that welcoming for a Tampa Bay team that’s dropped three of its last four home games. Meanwhile, Boston has only lost once in regulation on the road this season, only allowing more than two regulation goals twice in eight away games.

While I expect a hard-fought tilt between these rivals, I’m taking the Bruins to win in enemy territory. Boston has had Tampa Bay’s number for quite some time now and I don’t see that changing, especially taking the Lightning’s current goaltending situation into account.

I do think the Over on the 6.5-goal total is the best bet, though. After all, three of the Bruins’ last four games saw exactly seven goals scored while the Lightning have surrendered four-plus goals in eight of their last 10 games. I’d be shocked if there weren’t fireworks tonight.

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction: BOS wins

Best Bet: o6.5 Total Goals (-108 on Bovada)

Bruins vs Lightning Best Player Prop

To the surprise of no one, I’m taking the Over on David Pastrnak’s 4.5-shot total as the best Bruins vs. Lightning player prop tonight.

When the Bruins need offense, they turn to Pastrnak, who’s averaging 4.7 shots on goal per game. The Czech sniper has finished with five or more shots eight times this season with four of those instances occurring in his last six games alone.

Having hit the Over on this prop five times in his six previous meetings with the Lightning, Pastrnak is on track for another productive showing tonight.

Bet: David Pastrnak o4.5 Shots on Goal (-105 on Bovada)

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Devon Platana
Devon Platana

Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.

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