England vs Chile Rugby World Cup Prediction & Picks: Returning Farrell to Lead Rout of Pool D Minnows

Eddie Griffin

Written by: Eddie Griffin

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England vs Chile Rugby World Cup Pool D prediction odds picks Sept 23 2023 cover


England successfully navigated the absence of captain Owen Farrell to open the 2023 Rugby World Cup with comfortable wins over Argentina and Japan. A rested and ready Farrell will be back on the pitch for tomorrow’s clash with Chile (11:45 am ET, Peacock), who might be left wishing his suspension was a bit longer.

Farrell missed the first two games of the World Cup while serving out the remainder of a four-match ban for a bad tackle in a warm-up win over Wales last month.

Without him, the 2003 world champions fell to Ireland and Fiji to close out their pre-tournament slate but kicked off their stay in France with a 17-point win over Argentina and a 22-point win over Japan.

England coach Steve Borthwick won’t be fielding his strongest starting lineup against Chile, who have been outscored in 85-22 in their first two games against Japan and Samoa. Barring the most unlikely of events, England will win with extreme ease, so trotting out most of the team’s top players would be unnecessary.

But in addition to Farrell starting in his return, Billy Vunipola will also get his first start of the tournament after missing the opener through suspension and not seeing any action against Japan.

England vs Chile Odds

Odds are via Bovada.


  • England -49.5 (-105)
  • Chile +49.5 (-115)


  • England -100000
  • Chile +4000
  • Draw +6600


  • Over 67.5 (-110)
  • Under 67.5 (-110)

Will Rotated England Rack Up the Tries?

Marcus Smith Owen Farrell England rugby

This is Chile’s first Rugby World Cup appearance, and this will be the highest-profile opponent that they have ever played.

This will almost certainly be a rout, but Chile certainly have displayed some heart thus far in the tournament. They scored the first try against Japan and did the same against Samoa, and they tallied double-digit points in both matches.

It will be a bit more difficult to do that against England, who have allowed just one try in the first two games.

At the same time, we should see England have their highest points haul in a match this year. That won’t take all that much, relatively speaking, as their highest haul in their 11 matches in 2023 came in last Sunday’s match against Japan.

Since destroying Canada (70-14) and Tonga (69-3) in back-to-back matches in the Autumn Internationals in November 2021, England have scored 50+ points just once.

To date, England have scored 60 or more points seven times in 50 all-time Rugby World Cup matches. Most recently, they blew away Uruguay 60-3 in the final match of their disastrous 2015 Rugby World Cup campaign.

England vs Chile Prediction and Picks

Prediction: England to win

Picks: Chile team total over 8.5 points (-105 at Bovada) & England -49.5 (-105 at Bovada)

England won’t score 96 points like France did against Namibia, but they will win this one by a wide margin. Even so, it’s hard not to like the heart that Chile have shown thus far, and I think they will be able to score enough points to hit the over on their team total.

Where to Bet on the 2023 Rugby World Cup

While rugby may not be one of the most widely watched or bet on sports in the United States, the Rugby World Cup always draws a lot of attention.

In fact, you can find 2023 Rugby World Cup odds at many of the top sports betting sites available to bettors in the USA.

In addition to Bovada, here are some of the online sportsbooks that we recommend which offer odds on each game in the tournament, as well as Rugby World Cup winner futures odds:

If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our in-depth reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds. Happy betting, and please bet responsibly.

Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.

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