Dinger Tuesday — Expert Picks in the MLB Today
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Tue Sep 08, 2026, 4:55 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Happy Dinger Tuesday. We've got a full slate of MLB games and I can't wait to dive in. I've got two big time hitters locked and loaded; now let's just hope for a sweep.
The cheat sheet makes it a lot easier when I run through the stats I'm looking at and as always, hit me up on X if you've got more questions.
Dinger Cheat Sheet
- BA — Batting Average
- oBA — Opponent Batting Average
- xBA — Expected BA
- SLG — Slugging Percentage
- ISO — Isolated Power
- wOBA — Weighted On-Base Average
- HH% — Hard Hit Rate
- BRL% — Barrel Rate
- HR/9 — Home Runs per 9 innings
- XBH — Extra Base Hit
- RBI — Runs Batted In
Dinger Counter: 20-39; +26.5 units
Today's Dingers
Teoscar Hernández Home Run (+375) | Lucky Rebel
Teoscar finally hit a home run yesterday and it was on a day we didn't bet. Betting him today is probably a mistake, but the guy's just been so good recently it's hard to stay away.
Hernández is batting .438 in his last 5 games, he's got a .805 xSLG and .312 ISO. He's been on absolute fire recently and today he gets another left handed pitcher in Nick Lodolo.
Lodolo has a 5.08 ERA this year, he's given up 16 total home runs and 14 have been to right handed bats. He's letting righties hit .270 on the year, with a .500 SLG and 44% HH.
Hernández is batting .294 against lefties this year and he's got a .505 SLG. He's hit 6 home runs against lefties this year and that's despite such a low volume of opportunities.
Hernández has struggled this year, but his recent form suggests he's due for positive regression in the home run department and I'm still salty I missed out last night.
Kazuma Okamoto Home Run (+370) | Lucky Rebel
It's probably not a great idea to go right back to Okamoto tonight, but the kid's been hitting the crap out of the baseball.
Okamoto is hitting .300 in his last 5 games, he's an xwOBA of .407 and an xSLG of .580. He's been the Blue Jays best hitter this year and tonight he's in action at Sutter Health Park.
Okamoto is hitting .232 on the year, but he leads the Blue Jays with 29 home runs, a .448 SLG and 14% BRL.
On the mound for the Athletics is Jack Perkins. Perkins has a 6.82 ERA, he's given up 18 total home runs and 8 have come against right handed bats.
Perkins utilizes a heavy mix of his 4-seam fastball, sweeper and changeup. All 3 are pitches we've seen Okamoto crush this year and in this ballpark; it almost feels like a must bet.
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