MLB Best Prop Bets Tonight: Who’s Going Yard?
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Tue Sep 12, 2023, 3:42 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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October's right around the corner, and the playoffs are still within reach for plenty of teams. This is when we see the winners lock in, and pretenders get exposed.
We've got 17 games in the MLB today, 8 of those games are divisional matchups.
The Blue Jays, Rangers, and Mariners are all battling for the final American League Wild Card spot.
In the National League we've got six teams in the race. The Phillies, Cubs, DBacks, Marlins, Giants, and Reds are all within 2-4 games of each other; with the Cubs/Brewers still battling for the NL Central Crown.
Lots of meaningful baseball, so many great props; let's get into my favorites.
MLB Props Sept 12/23 – Best Bets
T. Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120) via Bovada
Trea Turner is batting 0.269 on the year, bumped that to 0.300 in the month of August, and bumped it up again in the month of September; 0.395 with 6 HRs in just 9 games.
We've talked about the resurgence of Trea, whether it was because of adjustments he made or the Phillies' faithful, Trea Turner is back.
He's batting 0.406 in his career vs. Fried with a single home run, in 32 ABs. Trea's numbers against the Braves this year, while mediocre, consist of early season games.
In his L2 vs the Braves, both yesterday, he was 4/8 with 2 singles, a double, and a home run.
Trea has loved playing in front of the Phillies' faithful, he's batting 0.298 @ home this year with 16 of his 25 HRs coming in Citizens Bank Park.
Since "the resurrection" he batting 0.421 @ home (Aug/Sept – 24gm), with 1+ hit in 23 of his L24 home games, 2+ hits in 14/24, and 10 HRs in that same time frame (0.863 SLG).
He's got a tough matchup tonight but for plus chicken, I'll take the scorching hot Trea Turner.
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120) via Bovada
Weather is too good to not sprinkle the home run. Turner HR (+400)
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-140) via Bovada
Apologies for the juice, but we may have only so many more opportunities to fade Adam Wainwright. Salute to you Adam, you've had a great career; it's just not your year.
Wainwright is sporting a 8.19 ERA, which jumps to 8.79 on the road. He's given up 20 HRs this year, 14 on the road(42 IP, 9 gm), and giving up 2.02 HR/9 + 14.16 hits/9.
Wainwright's also allowing LHB to hit 0.371 with a 0.651 SLG. Henderson has an average of 0.270 vs. RHP, significantly better than against LHP; 22 of his 25 HRs have also come against RHP.
Juice sucks, but as our homie Shaggy would say "Pay the Juiceman."
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-140) via Bovada
Sprinkle the home run, Henderson HR (+400)
Julio Rodríguez o1.5 Total Bases (+115) via Bovada
Yes, Julio Rodríguez. Yes, again.
He's batting 0.350 since the All-Star Break, 0.429 in August w 7 HRs (23 gm) AND he's got 6 HRs in just 11 games, this month. In just his second year, it's clear who the Mariner's best player is.
Rodríguez leads the Mariner's in almost every offensive category you can think of. Hits, runs, RBIs, home runs, and stolen bases.
He's batting 0.409 in his L5 games, 0.348 vs the Angels and 0.313 vs the division. He's got minimal, but great history with Sandoval; he's 3/8 (0.375) with a single and 2 HRs.
Betting the same guys can get boring, but if they continue to play at this level, you kinda have to push the buttons.
Julio Rodríguez o1.5 Total Bases (+115) via Bovada
Lets just make it a trifecta, Rodríguez HR (+450)
Bonus Bet: JRod 1+ HR / Turner 1+ HR / Henderson 1+ HR (+13650)
I've got a half unit spread across each individual guy, but of course I parlayed them all together.
DO NOT GO BIG. TENTH OF A UNIT. (0.1u)
Its official, there's only two ways today can go; Bezos, or Bozo.
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You may know me as ‘VSaaauce’. I’ve been a die hard hoops fan my entire life. I’ve been betting on the NBA/NCAAB/NFL/MLB for six years now, each year gaining more and more knowledge about being a profitable handicapper. I’m eager to learn, and eager to pass on everything I’ve gained over the last few years. I started my Twitter page four years ago, and this community makes me so thankful I did. Outside of sports and handicapping, I enjoy traveling, hoopin, a strong espresso and I’m currently studying to obtain my MD. I’m all about the vibes, good vibes only. If that sounds like you, follow me on 'X' @VSaaauce.
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