MLB Bets for Saturday, May 16: Should you Trust Taillon?

The Tigers snapped their three-game losing streak after getting swept by the Mets and opened this series with a 3-2 win in Game 1.

Today, Casey Mize takes the bump for Detroit, and he's exactly the type of arm they should want in this spot. Mize owns a 2.90 ERA, 2.84 FIP and a HR/FB rate below 6%.

The Blue Jays have struggled against right-handers over the past month, ranking 27th in ISO (.116) and 22nd in wRC+ (94).

Meanwhile, the Tigers rank 11th in wRC+ (106) and 14th in ISO (.154) against righties during that stretch, and they'll be facing a bullpen game from Toronto today.

We're getting Detroit at a very reasonable price considering they have the more reliable arm and lineup at the moment.

The Northsiders took Game 1 of the Crosstown Classic on Friday night, cruising to a 10-5 win.

There's no question the Cubs are the better team overall, but that may not be the case today with Jameson Taillon taking the bump.

The veteran right-hander owns an okay 3.94 ERA, but the underlying numbers are far more worrisome, including a 5.66 FIP, 34% ground-ball rate, 17% HR/FB ratio and 13% barrel rate. It feels like only a matter of time before Taillon gets pummeled, and on a warm day in the Windy City against a White Sox offense that's been crushing right-handed pitching lately, this could be the spot where it happens.

Over the past month against righties, the White Sox rank first in wOBA (.350), second in ISO (.193), and third in both wRC+ (121) and OPS (.792).

Despite all of that, sportsbooks are still hanging the White Sox team total at only 3.5. Yes, the juice is steep at -140, but this still looks like one of the better plays on today's board.