MLB Picks and Predictions for August 4, 2026
Written by: Nate Hornung
Published: Tue Aug 04, 2026, 9:55 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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We've got all 30 MLB teams back in action on Tuesday, giving us 15 contests to break down and find some plays. Our experts found a few of their favorite sides tonight, and even parlayed a couple of them together for plus money. See if you're tailing or fading them today by reading our best MLB picks below!
- MLB YTD
- 71-51-1 (58.2%)
- +18.37u
- Average Odds -101
Check out the best odds on the market at our top online sportsbooks.
Two Team Moneyline Parlay – MLB Picks
Drake Baldwin had just one hit in the Braves' four game weekend series. Will he come alive tonight?
Best Bet: Phillies/Braves ML Parlay (+133) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
Two big favorites at home. But if you take them both to win, you get plus money. I'll take the bait, let's discuss.
Jesus Luzardo starts for the Phillies at home. He already smoked this Nationals team once this year, I expect him to do it again. His monthly ERA has dropped all year: 3.03 in May, 2.97 in June, and 2.59 in July. Luzardo is feeling himself, and the Nats' bats are hitting just .151 in three games in August. The last time he faced this team, he gave up just one earned run in 6.2 innings with 13 strikeouts. Philly should have no problem smashing Zack Littell for enough runs to win.
As for the Braves, Grant Holmes, my doppleganger, is on the mound. Both teams are on impressive winning streaks, but Atlanta needs to put Miami in their place. Prior to winning six of their last seven, they lost nine in a row to start the second half of the season, 12 in a row overall. The Braves have beaten this team in 5/7 games this year, including the last three by an aggregate score of 26-8. I'm willing to back a team that is 36-20 at home this year.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Picks
Eduardo Rodriguez has led the Diamondbacks to 17 wins this year. He is responsible for 10 of them.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup
- San Diego Padres; RHP Randy Vasquez (6-6, 4.45 ERA, 1.47 WHIP)
- Arizona Diamondbacks: LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 2.48 ERA, 1.21 WHIP)
Best Bet: Diamondbacks ML (-117) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
Yes, we were on the Diamondbacks last night. Sure, they won for us and broke the Padres' four game winning streak. Tonight in the desert, we are going right back to backing the Snakes. Again, this isn't quite a system play. They are at home, but tonight they face right hander, Randy Vasquez.
He started out the year red hot, but has since cooled way down. In fact, he gets plenty of time from the bullpen now, but tonight he's starting. Vasquez is coming off pitching 4.2 scoreless innings to the Giants on Thursday. However, in his last two contests against competent offenses things haven't gone well.
Vasquez Against Strong Offenses
- 0.2 IP: 4 hits, 2 ER @ Atlanta
- 3.0 IP: 7 hits, 4 ER 1 HR @ Los Angeles Dodgers
- 3.1 IP: 8 hits, 7 runs, 4 ER, 2 HR vs. Dodgers
- 3.1 IP: 8 hits, 7 runs, 6 ER @ Texas
You get the picture. The Snakes should produce plenty of offense. However, I love their starting pitcher. Eduardo Rodriguez has been one of the best in the MLB all year long. He ranks No. 15 in wins, sixth in ERA and is top 35 in WHIP as well. At home, his ERA doesn't drop significantly, but his WHIP comes from 1.21 to 1.04. He just pitched eight scoreless against the Pirates to capture his 10th win of the season.
The Snakes are 17-5 when he gets the start, and two of those losses were his first two outings of the year, where he gave up zero earned runs. While he hasn't pitched against the Padres before, they aren't going to wow you against lefties, and I think they are tumbling back down to Earth after winning eight of their last nine.
If you were to parlay all three of these teams to win tonight, you could find at least +331. I've heard of worse ways to triple your money.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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