Pitt vs Notre Dame: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | March 11, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Tue Mar 11, 2025, 12:50 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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The first round of the ACC Tournament sets up a prime opportunity to fade both Notre Dame and Pitt. Notre Dame is coming off an exhausting four-overtime game, while Pitt just posted an unusually high-scoring performance against a weak defense. With both teams facing quick turnarounds, expect a sluggish offensive showing.
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Last Month in CBB: 45-46 (-4.68 Units)
#13 Pitt vs #12 Notre Dame Odds
Can Pitt replicate Saturday's performance?
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Spread
Pitt:-4.5 (-105)
Notre Dame: +4.5 (-115)
Total
Over: 136 (-110)
Under: 136 (-110)
Moneyline
Pitt: -180
Notre Dame: +160
#13 Pitt vs #12 Notre Dame Best Bet
We are looking for every possible way to fade both of these teams in the first round of the ACC Tournament.
First, Notre Dame is coming off a grueling four-overtime, 112-110 win over Cal on Saturday. They essentially played two full games that day, and with the quick turnaround to Tuesday morning, they should come out sluggish.
Second, Pitt is coming off a 93-67 win over Boston College. The Panthers typically average around 80 points per game at home, but 93 is an outlier for a team that plays at such a slow pace. They benefitted from facing the 281st-ranked road defense. Now, they will be up against a unit nearly 150 spots ahead of Boston College.
The pace in this game should be as slow as your parents on Christmas morning—slow. Both teams rank in the bottom 90 in tempo. On the road, Notre Dame has been even slower, sitting at 324th in pace, per Bart Torvik.
I am banking on both offenses to come out sluggish after big weekends and quick turnarounds to start conference play. The last time these teams met on February 22, both scored over 70 points, and the total soared over. This time, I see it staying under 65 points apiece.
Best Bet: Game Under 136 (-110) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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