Sunday Night Football: Lions vs. Panthers — NFL Expert Picks & Predictions (10/4)

Varun Sharma

Written by: Varun Sharma

Last Update: Sun Oct 04, 2026, 2:11 pm ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

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nfl

Detroit Lions logo
Today8:20 pm ET
Carolina Panthers logo

Detroit Lions
Odds

Spread

Total

Moneyline

-3.5

-115

52

-110u

-200

Carolina Panthers
Odds

Spread

Total

Moneyline

+4.0

-110

51.0

-105o

+182

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We've got a great matchup for Sunday Night Football this week. The Detroit Lions will take on the Carolina Panthers live from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Two offenses that rank top-5 in points this year and two defenses that rank bottom-10 in points allowed. It's no surprise we're getting a total of 50 in this game, two really good offenses and two really bad defenses.

Let's jump right into it.

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

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Game Information

Chubba Hubbard looks to build on his amazing season last year in Carolina

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Matchup Information

  • Location: Bank of America Stadium; Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Date: Sunday, October 4th, 2026
  • Kickoff: 8:20 PM EST

Quarterback Matchup

  • Detroit Lions: Jared Goff (2025: 9-8; 268.5 YPG | 34 TD | 8 INT)
  • Carolina Panthers: Bryce Young (2025: 8-8 | 188.2 YPG | 23 TD | 11 INT)

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Analysis & Breakdown

Jared Goff

Kitty Cat Defense

The Detroit Lions have one of the scariest offenses in all of football The team's averaging 31.0 points per game this year (3rd), 368.3 total yards per game (9th) and they're converting 79% of their redzone trips into touchdowns (6th).

The problem is they've been almost equally as bad on defense. The Lions are giving up 31.7 points per game this year (31st), they're allowing 416.7 total yards per game (31st) and they've given up the most touchdowns in the NFL so far (13).

Despite having one of the worst defenses in the NFL, the Lions have won two of their three games and it's all because of this offense.

Jared Goff's averaging 267.3 pass yards per game so far this year, he's thrown 8 touchdowns and has zero turnovers. Amon-Ra St. Brown's caught 5 of Goff's 8 touchdown passes, averaging 76.0 yards per game and just under 8 catches per game.

Out of the backfield, they've got one of the best; the one and only Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs is averaging 152.3 total yards from scrimmage per game this year, he's scored 6 touchdowns through three games and he's averaging 5.7 yards per touch.

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Black Cats

The Carolina Panthers offense looked great through the first two weeks of the season. The Panthers put up 37 points in a Week 1 loss to the Bears and followed that up by hanging 34 on the Falcons in a win.

Then they came out last week in Cleveland and laid a dud. The Panthers finisherd with 360 yards of offense but just 18 total points. The team went 1/3 from the redzone and that put them at 62% on the year from within 20.

Detroit's 31st in opponent redzone efficiency, so this would be the perfect time to get this offense back on track.

Bryce Young's looked fantastic through the first three weeks. He's averaging 313.0 pass yards per game, he's thrown 7 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Young's averaging 40.3 pass attempts per game and Head Coach Dave Canales has made it abundantly clear; they're going to pass a ton.

Last year it was the Panthers defense that carried this team, this year it's been the opposite. The team's allowing 27.7 points per game (25th), 365.7 total yards per game (28th) and most of those yards have come on the ground.

The Panthers rank dead last in rush yards allowed this year (193.3/game) and this week they take on hottest RB in the league.

Sunday Night's Best Bets

Darren Waller Anytime Touchdown (+240) | Lucky Rebel

The Panthers need to be better in the redzone this week and they need to finish drives. Bryce Young also has a history of performing significantly better in his home stadium and tonight against this soft Lions' defense I love Waller.

The Panthers will also be without Jalen Coker tonight and without him in the slot, I'm assuming we'll see Waller's snaps out there go up.

The Lions have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air this year and 6 of those have gone to TEs. Jack Campbell has had to step up in coverage with the departure of Alex Anzolne and he's been struggling.

Campbell's been target 14 times this year, he's given up 12 catches for 145 yards and 2 touchdowns. Waller's snap share has increased every week, his target share has gone up every single week and his routes run continue to increase.

He's developing a bigger role in this offense and in the redzone is where he's the most dangerous.

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Varun Sharma
Varun Sharma

You may know me as ‘VSaaauce’. I’ve been a die hard hoops fan my entire life. I’ve been betting on the NBA/NCAAB/NFL/MLB for six years now, each year gaining more and more knowledge about being a profitable handicapper. I’m eager to learn, and eager to pass on everything I’ve gained over the last few years. I started my Twitter page four years ago, and this community makes me so thankful I did. Outside of sports and handicapping, I enjoy traveling, hoopin, a strong espresso and I’m currently studying to obtain my MD. I’m all about the vibes, good vibes only. If that sounds like you, follow me on 'X' @VSaaauce.

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