Belmont Park Picks: Saturday Full Card Analysis (10/17/2026)

Written by: Chris Adams
Published: Sat Oct 17, 2026, 7:00 am ET
Read Time: 7 minutes

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Belmont Park picks are here for a 11-race Saturday card. Below you will find full Belmont Park picks and analysis for every race on the October 17, 2026 program, including a best bet, a live longshot and suggested wagers for each event.
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Belmont Park Full Card Analysis

Belmont Picks: Saturday Full Card Analysis (10/17/2026)
Belmont Park Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:05 PM ET; Starter Allowance $32k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #6 COMMUTED (1-2): Major Player. Meaningful class relief today. Best late pace figure in the field at 104.
- #3 BRESLAU (6-1): Major Player. Drops to a level that should suit. Figures fit comfortably at this level.
- #1 COOL ANDY (5-1): Contender. Much better than the last line indicates. Top connections on the circuit with Carmouche and Rice.
- #2 RUN CLASSIC (6-1): Contender. Faced tougher last time and gets relief here. Consistently runs above the level it faces.
Selections: 6 – 3 – 1 – 2
The Plays
Win: #6 at 5-2
Trifecta: 6,3 / 6,3,1,2 / 6,3,1,2
Belmont Park Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:38 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 6 F Turf; Field of 6 runners.
- #1 DELIGHTFUL FLAME (6-5): Major Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Numbers grade out better than the raw figures suggest.
- #4 GIFT OF GAB (9-5): Major Player. Improving with each start. Stettinius and Franco team up, and that combination wins its share.
- #3 RIVER SEINE (3-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Strong connections with Nevin sending out Fresu.
- #5 LIL' REGARD (8-1): Contender. Competitive in the same class recently. The 12 speed rating is among the top in the group.
Selections: 1 – 4 – 3 – 5
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Trifecta: 1,4 / 1,4,3,5 / 1,4,3,5
Belmont Park Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:11 PM ET; Starter Allowance $32k; 1 1/4 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 MISSOURI RIVER (3-1): Major Player. Figures have climbed in three straight. Outruns the class par more often than not.
- #5 LE GRIS (7-5): Major Player. Runs better than the bare figures indicate once class is factored in. Rice has the barn rolling and keeps Franco aboard.
- #4 SHARP SPARK (5-1): Contender. Has been facing this kind and holding its own. Has been exceeding what the level demands.
- #1 FRIZZANTE (6-1): Contender. No class question at this level. Needs to bounce back from a dull effort.
Selections: 3 – 5 – 4 – 1
The Plays
Win: #3 at 5-2
Trifecta: 3,5 / 3,5,4,1 / 3,5,4,1
Belmont Park Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:44 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #3 GREYJOY (8-1): Major Player. Record over this surface and trip stands out. Speed numbers are right there with the top group.
- #8 PLANET CLARE (5-1): Major Player. Has handled this exact setup before. Recent form lines measure up to these.
- #4 BOW DRAW (8-1): Contender. Looks good based on the 92 speed rating. Closing kick is the strongest of this group.
- #5 LADY FIREFOOT (4-1): Contender. Belongs on class and should be in the mix. Has the numbers to be involved late.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 4 – 5
The Plays
Win: #3 at 5-2
Exacta: 3 / 8,4
Belmont Park Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:17 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 6 F Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #7 SHAPE NOTE (2-1): Major Player. Course and distance record is the strongest here. The Maker barn strikes at a healthy clip in this spot.
- #4 BITE AND STRIKE (3-1): Major Player. Quick enough to matter in the closing stages. Lezcano takes the mount for Rice, which is worth noting.
- #2 CALVIN'S RIDE (5-1): Contender. Has been knocking on the door in similar spots. Form lines read well against this group.
- #5 MISSION IMPROBABLE (9-2): Contender. Knows the surface and the trip, which counts for plenty. Numbers are competitive with anything else entered.
Selections: 7 – 4 – 2 – 5
The Plays
Win: #7 at 5-2
Trifecta: 7,4 / 7,4,2,5 / 7,4,2,5
Belmont Park Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:50 PM ET; Starter Allowance $32k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #5 WILL NOT BE SWAYED (2-1): Major Player. Has done its best running under these exact conditions. Consistent enough to be a factor at this level.
- #7 CITY BLOCKS (3-1): Major Player. Ran at this level last out. Connections are as strong as any in the race.
- #1 MEG'S FOXY GREY (7-2): Contender. Figures fit comfortably at this level.
- #6 MASCARA (6-1): Contender. Competitive in the same class recently.
Selections: 5 – 7 – 1 – 6
The Plays
Win: #5 at 5-2
Exacta: 5 / 7,1
Belmont Park Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:23 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 7 runners.
- #7 INTERCEPTOR (2-1): Major Player. Consistently runs above the level it faces.
- #1 CARC BROTHERS (6-5): Major Player. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #6 WRITE OFF JERRY (8-1): Contender. The 91 speed rating is among the top in the group.
- #4 EMERGENCE (12-1): Contender. Has been facing this kind and holding its own.
Selections: 7 – 1 – 6 – 4
The Plays
Win: #7 at 5-2
Trifecta: 7,1 / 7,1,6,4 / 7,1,6,4
Belmont Park Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 3:56 PM ET; Starter Allowance $20k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #7 BAM'S BLISS KISS (10-1): Major Player. Record over this surface and trip stands out.
- #4 MURSAL (3-1): Major Player. Numbers grade out better than the raw figures suggest. Finishes better than anything else entered.
- #3 SNIDE (4-1): Contender. Has handled this exact setup before.
- #9 BEIRA (5-1): Contender. Works suggest readiness off the layoff. Training pattern points to a live return.
Selections: 7 – 4 – 3 – 9
The Plays
Win: #7 at 5-2
Exacta: 7 / 4,3
Belmont Park Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:29 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #4 MAGNANIMOUS MAX (3-1): Major Player. No class question at this level.
- #1 GEORGIA MAGIC (6-5): Major Player. Owns the fastest recent figure in the field at 104.
- #7 INEXORABLE (8-1): Contender. Clearly moving forward off the last two.
- #2 BARB (10-1): Contender. Speed numbers are right there with the top group.
Selections: 4 – 1 – 7 – 2
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Pick 3 (Races 9-11): #4,1,7 with #5,1,4 with #4
Trifecta: 4,1 / 4,1,7,2 / 4,1,7,2
Belmont Park Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:02 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

- #5 URGENCY (6-1): Longshot Play of the Day. Outruns the class par more often than not. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
- #1 HIGHLANDS WAY (5-2): Major Player. Course and distance record is the strongest here.
- #4 HAMMERHEAD (6-1): Contender. On a steady upward trend.
- #9 EMIRATES ROAD (10-1): Contender. Improving with each start.
Selections: 5 – 1 – 4 – 9
The Plays
Win: #5 at 7-2
Trifecta: 5,1 / 5,1,4,9 / 5,1,4,9
Belmont Park Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 5:35 PM ET; Starter Allowance $16k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

- #4 SECURED LANDING (2-1): Best Bet of the Card. Knows the surface and the trip, which counts for plenty. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #2 NORMANDY COAST (5-1): Major Player. Recent form lines measure up to these.
- #10 SHOOT THE NICKEL (4-1): Contender. Sharp drop in class is the story.
- #3 CONCORDE SPIRIT (8-1): Contender. Ran into trouble last out and deserves another look.
Selections: 4 – 2 – 10 – 3
The Plays
Win: #4 at 8-5
Exacta: 4 / 2,10
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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