Woodbine Picks: Grade 3 Ontario Derby (10/17/2026)

Chris Adams

Written by: Chris Adams

Published: Sat Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 am ET

Read Time: 7 minutes

Horses cross the finish line on the Woodbine synthetic - Woodbine Picks

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Woodbine picks are here for a 11-race card topped by the Grade 3 Ontario Derby. Below you will find full Woodbine picks and analysis for every race on the October 17, 2026 program, including a best bet, a live longshot and suggested wagers for each event.

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Woodbine Full Card Analysis

Woodbine Picks: Grade 3 Ontario Derby (10/17/2026)

Woodbine Picks: Grade 3 Ontario Derby (10/17/2026)

Woodbine Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:05 PM ET; Claiming $7500; 6 F All Weather; Field of 7 runners.

  • #6 BEAU PINK (3-1): Major Player. Consistently runs above the level it faces. Numbers grade out better than the raw figures suggest.
  • #2 COMPLEX SECRET (2-1): Major Player. Meaningful class relief today. Outruns the class par more often than not.
  • #4 HOPE SHE FIRES (5-2): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Best late pace figure in the field at 86.
  • #1 MISS CANDY GIRL (6-1): Contender. Drops to a level that should suit. May be able to take advantage of the pace.

Selections: 6 – 2 – 4 – 1

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-2

Trifecta: 6,2 / 6,2,4,1 / 6,2,4,1

Woodbine Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:37 PM ET; Claiming $40k; 7 F All Weather; Field of 9 runners.

  • #7 FLYING SCHULZY (3-1): Major Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Top connections on the circuit with Wilson and Halden.
  • #8 ALEATORIC (5-2): Major Player. Record over this surface and trip stands out. Desruisseaux and Moran team up, and that combination wins its share.
  • #6 MONEY HEIST (6-1): Contender. Has handled this exact setup before. Needs to bounce back from a dull effort.
  • #1 TUNED OUT (10-1): Contender. Faced tougher last time and gets relief here. Runs better than the bare figures indicate once class is factored in.

Selections: 7 – 8 – 6 – 1

The Plays

Win: #7 at 5-2

Trifecta: 7,8 / 7,8,6,1 / 7,8,6,1

Woodbine Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:12 PM ET; Claiming $32k; 7 1/2 F Turf; Field of 7 runners.

  • #1 LADY IONA (5-2): Major Player. Improving with each start. Has been exceeding what the level demands.
  • #6 GO OLIVIA (10-1): Major Player. Figures fit comfortably at this level. Strong connections with Lay sending out Hoyte.
  • #4 RETAIL THERAPIST (6-1): Contender. Competitive in the same class recently. Speed numbers are right there with the top group.
  • #5 MIDNIGHT MARTINI (2-1): Contender. Course and distance record is the strongest here. Recent form lines measure up to these.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 4 – 5

The Plays

Win: #1 at 5-2

Trifecta: 1,6 / 1,6,4,5 / 1,6,4,5

Woodbine Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:44 PM ET; Claiming $40k; 7 F Turf; Field of 11 runners.

  • #8 KARAT GOLD (3-1): Major Player. Owns the fastest recent figure in the field at 78. Has the numbers to be involved late.
  • #11 HURRICANE POINT (10-1): Major Player. The work tab reads like a horse ready to run, not one being educated. Banach has the barn rolling and keeps Moran aboard.
  • #5 PEACE MISSION (6-1): Contender. Quick enough to matter in the closing stages. Has questions to answer but the upside is there.
  • #3 HOT GYAL MOSSOP (8-1): Contender. Figures have climbed in three straight. Form lines read well against this group.

Selections: 8 – 11 – 5 – 3

The Plays

Win: #8 at 5-2

Exacta: 8 / 11,5

Woodbine Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:16 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $126k; 6 F All Weather; Field of 10 runners.

  • #9 ANY OSCAR (3-1): Major Player. Distance change should suit. Numbers are competitive with anything else entered.
  • #10 GROOVINHARMONY (9-2): Major Player. Has been drilling steadily into the debut. The Carroll barn strikes at a healthy clip in this spot.
  • #1 GOLDA (4-1): Contender. Serious work pattern behind this first start. Aebly takes the mount for Casse, which is worth noting.
  • #6 YERWAN (8-1): Contender. Should get loose on an uncontested lead. Has been facing this kind and holding its own.

Selections: 9 – 10 – 1 – 6

The Plays

Win: #9 at 5-2

Trifecta: 9,10 / 9,10,1,6 / 9,10,1,6

Woodbine Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:48 PM ET; Claiming $40k; 6 F Turf; Field of 10 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #4 BOOTSONTHEGROUND (5-1): Longshot Play of the Day. Has won at a higher level than this. Connections are as strong as any in the race. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
  • #3 URBAN LEGEND (8-1): Major Player. Knows the surface and the trip, which counts for plenty.
  • #2 PHILIP BANKS (8-5): Contender. Pedigree says the surface switch is worth a try.
  • #8 GLASWEIGIAN (8-1): Contender. Bred to appreciate the change of surface. Closing kick is the strongest of this group.

Selections: 4 – 3 – 2 – 8

The Plays

Win: #4 at 7-2

Exacta: 4 / 3,2

Woodbine Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:21 PM ET; Claiming $40k; 5 1/2 F All Weather; Field of 9 runners.

  • #3 MATHEMATICAL (3-1): Major Player. Sharp drop in class is the story. No class question at this level.
  • #6 INESCAPABLE (4-1): Major Player. Has been running against better than this. Could wear these ones down late.
  • #5 RULE THE WAVES (5-2): Contender. The class edge on paper is real. Barn has been solid with this exact move.
  • #7 VEGAS ROAD (6-1): Contender. Belongs on class and should be in the mix.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 5 – 7

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-2

Trifecta: 3,6 / 3,6,5,7 / 3,6,5,7

Woodbine Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:54 PM ET; Claiming $50k; 7 F Turf; Field of 11 runners.

  • #7 CELEBRITY WARRIOR (4-1): Major Player. Clearly moving forward off the last two.
  • #8 TOSSING (3-1): Major Player. Beaten only 4 lengths last out against similar.
  • #4 MEW N ME (6-1): Contender. Move to this surface looks like the right call.
  • #5 BULLET JOURNAL (8-1): Contender. Has been knocking on the door in similar spots. Consistent enough to be a factor at this level.

Selections: 7 – 8 – 4 – 5

The Plays

Win: #7 at 5-2

Trifecta: 7,8 / 7,8,4,5 / 7,8,4,5

Woodbine Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:26 PM ET; Grade 3 Ontario Derby $175k; 1 1/8 M All Weather; Field of 9 runners.

  • #9 MILITARY TIME (5-2): Major Player. Has done its best running under these exact conditions. Sets up well if the front end folds.
  • #7 BRACHETTO (6-1): Major Player. Steps down into a far more manageable spot. Will be running when the early speed comes back.
  • #8 CHAOS AGENT (3-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out.
  • #6 BULL BY THE HORNS (4-1): Contender. Bred to handle the added ground.

Selections: 9 – 7 – 8 – 6

The Plays

Win: #9 at 5-2

Pick 3 (Races 9-11): #9,7,8 with #10 with #4,2,7

Exacta: 9 / 7,8

Woodbine Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:57 PM ET; Grade 3 Ontario Fashion Stakes $175k; 6 F All Weather; Field of 10 runners.

  • #10 CREED'S GOLD (2-1): Best Bet of the Card. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
  • #3 ULTIMATE AUTHORITY (15-1): Major Player. Competitive in the same class recently.
  • #4 SINCLAIRITY (15-1): Contender. Has been facing this kind and holding its own.
  • #6 AUSTERE (9-2): Contender. On a steady upward trend.

Selections: 10 – 3 – 4 – 6

The Plays

Win: #10 at 8-5

Exacta: 10 / 3,4

Woodbine Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 6:27 PM ET; Claiming $10k; 1 1/16 M All Weather; Field of 9 runners.

  • #4 CAPTIVATING NAME (7-2): Major Player. Improving with each start.
  • #2 JIM'S HOPE (4-1): Major Player. Meaningful class relief today. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
  • #7 NINJA STAR (12-1): Contender. Record over this surface and trip stands out.
  • #9 SWAN LAKE (8-1): Contender. Figures have climbed in three straight.

Selections: 4 – 2 – 7 – 9

The Plays

Win: #4 at 5-2

Trifecta: 4,2 / 4,2,7,9 / 4,2,7,9

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Chris Adams
Chris Adams

Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.

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