Keeneland picks are here for a 10-race card topped by the Grade 2 Raven Run Stakes. Below you will find full Keeneland picks and analysis for every race on the October 17, 2026 program, including a best bet, a live longshot and suggested wagers for each event.

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Keeneland Full Card Analysis

Keeneland Picks: Grade 2 Raven Run Stakes (10/17/2026)

Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:00 PM CT; Claiming $20k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #8 TROUBLE TIME (5-2): Best Bet of the Card. Improving with each start. Consistently runs above the level it faces. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #11 KEEPINITREAL (10-1): Major Player. Numbers grade out better than the raw figures suggest. Outruns the class par more often than not.
• #7 L RANKIN (6-1): Contender. Runs better than the bare figures indicate once class is factored in. Has been exceeding what the level demands.
• #5 HODL HARD (5-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Figures fit comfortably at this level.

Selections: 8 – 11 – 7 – 5

The Plays

Win: #8 at 8-5

Pick 3 (Races 1-3): #8 with #3,10 with #6,7,8

Exacta: 8 / 11,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 12:32 PM CT; Maiden Claiming $30k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

• #3 ABSOLUTE LEA W (5-1): Contender. The 69 speed rating is among the top in the group. Speed numbers are right there with the top group.
• #10 VALENTINE EVE (12-1): Contender. Recent form lines measure up to these. Has the numbers to be involved late.
• #9 AVOS ROSE (20-1): Contender. Figures have climbed in three straight. Quick enough to matter in the closing stages.
• #12 SAILOR'S DREAM (7-2): Contender. Competitive in the same class recently. Top connections on the circuit with Velazquez and Ward.

Selections: 3 – 10 – 9 – 12

The Plays

Win: #3 at 7-2

Trifecta: 3,10 / 3,10,9,12 / 3,10,9,12

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:04 PM CT; Starter Allowance $13k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #6 LORD MAJESTY (6-1): Longshot Play of the Day. Has been facing this kind and holding its own. Barn has been solid with this exact move. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
• #8 SWIRVIN (3-1): Major Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Joseph and Ortiz team up, and that combination wins its share.
• #7 DANCIN FOR GOLD (5-2): Contender. Record over this surface and trip stands out. A 89 is plenty fast for this spot.
• #2 DR. STORM (15-1): Contender. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Best late pace figure in the field at 101.

Selections: 6 – 8 – 7 – 2

The Plays

Win: #6 at 7-2

Trifecta: 6,8 / 6,8,7,2 / 6,8,7,2

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 1:36 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #14 MAJORBROWNIEPOINTS (3-1): Major Player. Meaningful class relief today. Form lines read well against this group.
• #1 TOCO DANCER (5-1): Major Player. Numbers are competitive with anything else entered. No class question at this level.
• #3 CANDY PANCAKES (7-2): Contender. Belongs on class and should be in the mix. Strong connections with Cox sending out Ortiz.
• #13 EMMA'S JUSTICE (15-1): Contender. The work tab reads like a horse ready to run, not one being educated. Bred to be effective on this surface right away.

Selections: 14 – 1 – 3 – 13

The Plays

Win: #14 at 5-2

Trifecta: 14,1 / 14,1,3,13 / 14,1,3,13

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:08 PM CT; Claiming $80k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #10 SHIP SHIP HOORAY (8-1): Major Player. Clearly moving forward off the last two.
• #5 CLASSIC TIME (15-1): Major Player. Has been knocking on the door in similar spots. Casse has the barn rolling and keeps Saez aboard.
• #2 JEFFERSON STREET (9-2): Contender. Consistent enough to be a factor at this level. The Mott barn strikes at a healthy clip in this spot.
• #6 RAYMOND (12-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 10 – 5 – 2 – 6

The Plays

Win: #10 at 5-2

Exacta: 10 / 5,2

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 2:40 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

• #3 DECIMATION (4-1): Major Player. On a steady upward trend.
• #11 CAPITOLA (7-2): Major Player. Has been drilling steadily into the debut. Ortiz takes the mount for Cox, which is worth noting.
• #5 START THE PARTY (8-1): Contender. Serious work pattern behind this first start. Connections are as strong as any in the race.
• #9 PRATEEN (15-1): Contender. The morning line of works shows a horse wound up for the opener. Enough recorded works to trust the fitness.

Selections: 3 – 11 – 5 – 9

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-2

Trifecta: 3,11 / 3,11,5,9 / 3,11,5,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:12 PM CT; Grade 3 Perryville Stakes $350k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #11 OBLITERATION (9-2): Major Player. Has handled this exact setup before.
• #12 DEEP FLAME (7-5): Major Player. Owns the fastest recent figure in the field at 108.
• #1 SOLITUDE DUDE (6-1): Contender. Competitive in the same class recently.
• #10 DOUBLECENTS (10-1): Contender. Improving with each start.

Selections: 11 – 12 – 1 – 10

The Plays

Win: #11 at 5-2

Exacta: 11 / 12,1

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 3:44 PM CT; Allowance $140k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

• #10 BOJACA BLESSING (7-2): Major Player. Figures have climbed in three straight.
• #2 ONTARIO (6-1): Major Player. Figures fit comfortably at this level.
• #3 HEAR THE QUEEN (7-2): Contender. Has been facing this kind and holding its own.
• #1 CAVIAR BREAKFAST (8-1): Contender. No class question at this level. Closing kick is the strongest of this group.

Selections: 10 – 2 – 3 – 1

The Plays

Win: #10 at 5-2

Trifecta: 10,2 / 10,2,3,1 / 10,2,3,1

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:16 PM CT; Grade 2 Raven Run Stakes $400k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #6 PERCY'S BAR (6-1): Major Player. Has won at a higher level than this. Finishes better than anything else entered.
• #9 MASHALLAH (8-5): Major Player. Course and distance record is the strongest here.
• #8 CONCEIT (4-1): Contender. The 98 speed rating is among the top in the group.
• #11 MOVIE NIGHT (9-2): Contender. Belongs on class and should be in the mix.

Selections: 6 – 9 – 8 – 11

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-2

Exacta: 6 / 9,8

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 4:48 PM CT; Allowance $120k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #11 SHIRLEY ANN (6-1): Major Player. Drops to a level that should suit.
• #5 EPIC LADY LUCK (7-2): Major Player. Faced tougher last time and gets relief here.
• #1 MECHAYA (6-1): Contender. Clearly moving forward off the last two. Could wear these ones down late.
• #2 CACTUS CAIRO (30-1): Contender. Sets up well if the front end folds. Will be running when the early speed comes back.

Selections: 11 – 5 – 1 – 2

The Plays

Win: #11 at 5-2

Trifecta: 11,5 / 11,5,1,2 / 11,5,1,2

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