Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 5 Odds, Preview & Props

Written by: Danny Burke
Published: Tue May 12, 2026, 11:33 am ET
Read Time: 6 minutes

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Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals takes place on Tuesday night between the Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs.
The Wolves tied up the series at 2-2, after securing the Game 4 win at home, 114-109. Victor Wembanyama was ejected from that game for the errant elbow he threw at Naz Reid, but is cleared to return for tonight's contest.
With the Wemby back on the floor and the series shifting back to San Antonio, what should we expect tonight? I'll tell you below in my Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 5 odds, preview and props.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Odds
Courtesy of Lucky Rebel
Moneyline: Spurs (-420) | Wolves (+315)
Spread: Spurs -10.5 (-105) | Wolves +10.5 (-115)
Total: Over 219 (-110) | Under 219 (-108)
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Preview
It appears NBA Commissioner Adam Silver is appealing to the ratings by not suspending Spurs big man Victor Wembanyama after aggressively elbowing Naz Reid in the face, which led to a Flagrant 2 foul and ejection in Game 4.
There will be no further discipline for Spurs star Victor Wembanyama after he was ejected for elbowing Naz Reid in Minnesota on Sunday night, sources tell ESPN. No suspension, no fine. Wembanyama will play in Game 5 against the Timberwolves on Tuesday night in San Antonio. pic.twitter.com/GOGCbIcbQP
— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) May 11, 2026
Flagrant 2 fouls don't trigger an automatic suspension, but instead go through a league review for potential further discipline.
As an NBA fan, I'm thrilled we still get to watch Wembanyama play in this game, but as an objective observer, the fact that other players have been disciplined much more harshly for similar acts in the past makes this whole situation feel hypocritical and pathetic.
Let's not kid ourselves: if this were a role player committing the act, rather than a young superstar who's on track to become the face of the league, we'd probably be having a much different conversation.
Anyways, I digress. Let's get to the game.
This series would be easier to handicap if Anthony Edwards were playing at 100%. Still, even while hobbled, he's averaging 24.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game in the series. He scored 36 points in the last game and 32 in the matchup prior, while shooting above 46% and knocking down three triples in both contests.
His tenacity and determination have been admirable, but we also need to give credit to his teammates for consistently stepping up this postseason. In the last game, for example, the T-Wolves had six different players score in double figures. That's been a recurring theme for this group: they're selfless, gritty and willing to contribute in whatever way is needed.
As inspiring as that may be, is it enough to justify backing them against this versatile Spurs squad?
T'Wolves vs Spurs Props
- Victor Wembanyama Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-155)
- Rudy Gobert Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
- Naz Reid Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-105)
Of course I'm going back to ole reliable, a.k.a. betting Wembanyama under his three-point prop. In case you've missed it, since Game 1 of this series through Sunday's Game 4 meeting, I've been fading Wemby's production from deep.
Despite Wemby going over 2.5 threes just once in that first-round series against the Trail Blazers, the books priced his prop at 2.5 for Game 1 versus the Wolves, with a very affordable price attached to the under, and they haven't shifted it below 2.5 since. Naturally, the odds have gotten chalkier as he's continued to stay under this mark in the majority of games, but it's still worth playing.
In Game 1 against Portland, he knocked down a remarkable five of six attempts from deep, but after that he made only two three-pointers throughout the rest of that series.
In this current Western Conference Semifinals showdown, he went 0-for-8 in Game 1, 2-for-7 in Game 2 and 3-for-5 in Game 3, thanks to a third make from deep with only a few minutes remaining. Then, in Sunday's Game 4, he went 0-for-1 due to his ejection.
The past two games, the odds were in the range of -170 or higher, but currently we're only laying -155. If that's too rich for your blood, I completely understand, but I'm sticking with my strategy and fading his success from downtown.
Additionally, I'll be attacking the other big Frenchman on the floor in Rudy Gobert.
Gobert has been playing solid basketball this series, averaging nine points, 10 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. Tonight, though, I'll specifically be targeting his points and rebounds prop and banking on him finishing over 17.5 combined.
Here's how his game log has looked this series:
Game 1: 7 points / 10 rebounds
Game 2: 5 points / 10 rebounds
Game 3: 13 points / 7 rebounds
Game 4: 11 points / 13 rebounds
We should note that Game 2 was the massive blowout in which the Spurs won by 38 points, so Gobert logged fewer than 30 minutes.
San Antonio isn't afraid of Gobert beating them near the rim. That's not what could lead to their downfall. Instead, the concern is Minnesota's supporting cast doing damage from everywhere else on the floor. Because of that, we should continue to see quality looks for Gobert around the basket, along with plenty of rebounding opportunities like we've seen throughout the postseason.
Finally, I'll be circling Naz Reid and his production tonight. He's been a steady threat throughout this series and has treated over bettors well. Reid is averaging 14 points, 8.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. He's gone over 20.5 PRA in three of the four games this series. The only game he stayed below that mark was the aforementioned blowout, in which Reid logged only 21 minutes and still finished with 18 combined PRA.
The floor I have set for Naz Reid tonight is around 11 points and seven rebounds. In terms of assists, my safety net number for him is two, though it's worth noting he's averaging 3.5 potential assists per game in this series. My realistic projection, and why I believe this is a solid bet, is for him to score 13 points, rack up seven rebounds and dish out three dimes, which would put him comfortably over 20.5 PRA and make this a lucrative wager.

Danny Burke is a betting analyst with a decade of sports media experience. He got his start at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, sharing picks on the local ESPN affiliate. After college, he hosted shows for VSiN in Las Vegas before returning to Chicago to launch 'Rush Hour', the first daily sports betting show from an Illinois casino. He also co-hosted 'Props and Locks' on Fox32’s Bears pregame show and ran 'Bet On, Chicago' on WLS-AM 890.
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