Tottenham vs. Leeds United EPL Picks and Predictions: May 11, 2026

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Published: Mon May 11, 2026, 1:30 pm ET

Read Time: 3 minutes

Richarlison and Tottenham are looking to avoid relegation in the EPL - Tottenham Leeds United EPL Picks

EPL

Tottenham Hotspur logo
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Leeds United logo

Tottenham Hotspur

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Leeds United

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Tottenham and Leeds United play a standalone EPL match on Monday afternoon, and all eyes will be on this match. Tottenham is still facing relegation, however they control their own destiny. With a match in hand, they are up one point on West Ham United, and lead on goal differential. If you want to bet on them to be relegated, that can be found priced around +450, with West Ham listed at -650. Clearly the books, like me, think the Spurs are safe.

Tottenham vs. Leeds United EPL Picks

Best Bets: Tottenham/Leeds Under 2.5 (-102) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

I have no interest in paying the -130 juice for Tottenham to win this match at home, especially considering they opened closer to even money. People are buying in on the hosts, and for good reason. They have been playing better than they have all season in recent games, and have won five straight head to head over Leeds. But let's look at the under.

Leeds is a team that struggles to score, especially on the road. With as well as the Spurs have been playing, I doubt the visitors are able to produce many offensive chances. The Spurs could very easily shutout Leeds, but if they are somehow able to score early, look for the visiting team to park the bus.

Either way, I don't see more than two goals happening in this match, whether it be a 2-0 Tottenham win, or a 1-1 draw. But my correct score prediction is a 1-0 Tottenham win (+650).

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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