Road Dogs Bite Back — Expert Picks in the WNBA Today (10/7)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Wed Oct 07, 2026, 2:01 pm ET
Read Time: 6 minutes
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The WNBA Playoffs have been electric. The 8-seed New York Liberty swept the 1-seed Minnesota Lynx in Round 1. Both the Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries were pushed to the brink of elimination, with both teams eventually winning their respective Game 3s.
A'ja Wilson's averaging 30.0 points per game so far in the postseason. Breanna Stewart's averaging 24.7 points per game and Gabby Williams is right there with her at 25.0 PPG.
The level of talent in the WNBA is at an all-time high and this year's postseason has been the perfect depiction. Both the Aces and Liberty look to avoid going down 2-0 in their respective series, while both the Valkyries and Dream look to finish defending home court.
We've got plenty to talk about, let's jump right into it.
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Today's Best Bets
Kiah Stokes o7.5 Rebounds (+130) | Lucky Rebel
Kiah Stokes is currently playing in her 11th season. She's played for three different (WNBA) teams in her career and she's won three championships. She's played 364 regular season games, 48 playoff games and no on this Golden State roster has more postseason experience.
After making the playoffs in their inaugural season, the Valkyries were hungry for more. In addition to re-signing a ton of their own players, Golden State signed two big time free agents; Kiah Stokes and Gabby Williams.
Stokes is a 3x WNBA Champion and EuroLeague Champion. Williams is also a EuroLeague Champion, she's a 2x All-Star and she's got multiple WNBA All-Defense selections. The Valkyries re-tooled in the off-season and finished the regular season with the 2nd best record in the league.
Gabby leads the team in scoring, averaging 14.4 PPG in the regular season but 25.0 PPG so far in the postseason. She's scored 20+ points in 3 of her last 4 games against the Aces and while she's been great; I'm looking at Stokes.
Stokes lead the Valkyries in rebounding this year, averaging 5.8 rebounds per game in the regular season and 10.0 RPG in four playoff games. She's been fantastic on the glass and a big reason why the Valkyries have been able to limit second chance points.
In Game 1 of this series, the Valkyries out-rebounded the Aces 52-25 and 17-2 on the offensive glass. Stokes played 27 minutes, grabbed 14 rebounds with 7 coming on the offensive glass. They'll need that type of effort if they're going to beat the defending champs.
Lastly, we can't forget Stokes played for the Aces last year. She won a championship alongside all these ladies in Las Vegas and she played less than 15 total minutes in the entire run. Revenge?
A'ja Wilson o25.5 Points (-118) | Lucky Rebel
I didn't plan on betting A'ja in this matchup tonight, but getting her line this low has forced my hand. A'ja Wilson might go down as the greatest female basketball player to ever step foot on the court.
She was drafted in 2018 and after missing the postseason in her rookie year; she never let it happen again. Wilson is 216-92 in her career during the regular season and 37-22 in the postseason.
Wilson's an 8x All-Star, a 4x MVP, 3x WNBA Champion and 2x Finals MVP. She's a 3x DPOY, 6x All-WNBA and 5x All-Defense. It's hard for me to count A'ja out of this series and tonight with their backs against the wall; I'm going right back to her.
Wilson had 24 points in Game 1, she went 8/21 from the field and 8/11 from the free throw line. She played 35 minutes in a double digit loss and tonight with the prospect of going down 2-0, I wouldn't be surprised to see that go up.
Wilson played 37 minutes in their Game 3 win over Indiana in Round 1, scoring 36 points on 61% from the field and 12/15 from the free throw line.
I just can't skip over this line.
Breanna Steward o30.5 P/R (-120) | Lucky Rebel
While we're on the subject of playing the entire game, let's talk about Breanna Stewart. Stewie's coming off back to back games in which she has legitimately played every single minute.
Stewart's played 80 minutes in her last two games and played every minute of their Game 1 loss to the Atlanta Dream. In both games she's gone under this points/rebounds line, but tonight the Liberty risk going down 2-0 if she's unable to respond.
Stewart's shooting 41% over these last two games and she's only come away with 7 total rebounds. She simply needs to be better if the Liberty hope to even this series up and tonight feels like the perfect spot.
Stewart's averaging 21.2 PPG in her last 6 games against the Dream and she's scored 19+ points in all 3 of her matchups with them this year. She's also averaging 8.7 RPG in these 6 games and she's finished with 11+ rebounds in 2 of the 3 matchups this year.
In her career, during the postseason Stewart's averaging 22.0 PPG and 8.5 RPG per game. This year she's averaging 24.7 PPG in just 3 games, shooting 49% from the field, coming off a Gold Medal Win and Tournament MVP in the World Cup.
This is has been a big year for Stewie and I just don't think it's over yet.
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