College Football Week Four: Player Prop Expert Picks & Analysis

Brandon Pham

Written by: Brandon Pham

Last Update: Fri Sep 25, 2026, 12:55 pm ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

julian sayin ohio state

ncaaf

Back for another week in the college football world as we once again dive into some of my favorite player props for this weekends slate of games. Week three was a return normalcy for the most part but we still witnessed a few upsets.

Texas A&M lost in stunning fashion to the University of Kentucky in an upset. Alabama was down big to start off the game against Florida State and how could I not mention the absolute mess that NC State had in the last few seconds to lose to Vanderbilt.

But the best of them all was Ole Miss defending their home turf against their former head coach Lane Kiffin and LSU in his return to Oxford. As always college football proved to be exciting last week so here is to more of that same action as we head into week four.

Check out the best odds on the market and tons of picks for the NCAA Football Season.

Week Four Player Prop Picks

Julian Sayin o2.5 Passing Touchdowns -122 on Lucky Rebel

Facing off against a bad Illinois defense this weekend the Buckeyes are -27.5 point favorites against the Fighting Illini.

Listen yes this is a bit of homer pick yes but its not without reason. Sayin has not looked up to form this year as he did last year.

He needs to get back on track and start looking like the Julian Sayin of old and I think an in conference rivalry game will be just the spot to get the young quaterback on track once again.

Lincoln Keinholz 35+ Rushing Yards -130 on Lucky Rebel

lincoln Keinholz Louisville

Keinholz and the Louisville offense are on of the best rushing attacks in the nation, with an average of over 220 yards on the ground a game they look to take advantage against a poor rushing defense in Wake Forest.

Keinholz uses has hit the over on this line in all 3 of his games this year most impressively in their shootout loss to Ole Miss. Keinholz is dynamic in the pocket using his legs to extend plays and when all else fails he can take off too.

In a game where I expect Wake Forest and Louisville to go back and forth a bit I think it will be key for Keinholz to use his legs to keep the Cardinal offense moving.

Hollywood Smothers o59.5 Rushing Yards -115 on Lucky Rebel

Hollywood Smothers texas

In this top 25 matchup involving SEC powerhouses Texas and Tennessee all eyes will be on Texas Quarterback Arch Manning.

But I think for Manning to succeed in this game this weekend Texas must rely on their run game to keep the Vols defense honest and allow arch the time to throw whenever that occasion arises.

Smother has been the lead back for this Longhorn offense and has looked very good through three weeks. Smothers being productive is the key to success for Texas as he has eclipsed this line in two out of 3 wins for Texas this year.

Simply said, run the ball and then let Arch cook.

Deuce Alexander 70+ Receiving Yards -131 on Lucky Rebel 

Deuce Alexander Ole Miss

The favorite target for Trinidad Chambliss, Alexander is starting off the year on an incredible run for the Rebels.

In a marquee matchup for Ole Miss against Florida it very well could be a let down spot for Ole Miss coming off a hufe win against LSU the week prior. But I do not think that will happen. Ole Miss looks like a team poised to make the College Football Playoff this year.

I think in this matchup for LSU they will have to rely on their playmakers to come through and win this game for them. Deuce Alexander is exactly that and against a Florida defense that is very questionable against the pass? This could be a spot where Alexander feasts.

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Brandon Pham
Brandon Pham

I'm Brandon but most people call me Pham. Ohio Born and raised and a die hard Cleveland sports fan. Ive been capping for almost a decade. Other hobbies are video games and collecting TCG.

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