Portugal vs. Spain Picks and Predictions: July 6, 2026
Written by: Nate Hornung
Published: Mon Jul 06, 2026, 10:35 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
FIFA World Cup
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+0.5
-107
2
+108u
+324
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-0.5
-106
2
-122o
-105
We are in for one of the most exciting Round of 16 matchups tonight at AT&T Stadium as Portugal and Spain meet in Jerry's World. After finishing second in their group, Portugal now has a slightly tougher path to the World Cup Final, having to go through Spain in this round, with either team likely facing Argentina in the semifinals. Will Spain roll to a victory in this match? Or can Ronaldo lead his team to a massive upset? Find out with our expert picks below.
Check out the best odds on the market and tons of picks in different soccer leagues across the world.
Portugal vs. Spain FIFA World Cup Betting Insights
Portugal faces their toughest opponent of the tournament in the Round of 16, facing Spain in Dallas
Through four matches in the FIFA World Cup so far, Spain has yet to concede a goal. Sure, they were held scoreless by Cape Verde in their opener, but since then, the Spanish have secured three shutout victories over Saudi Arabia, Uruguay, and Austria. However, this will be the toughest test of the tournament for both teams.
Portugal also slept walked through their opening match, drawing with Congo 1-1 after scoring in the sixth minute of the match. They finished the group by beating Uzbekistan and drawing with Colombia, slotting them as the second place team in Group K. After a comeback victory over Croatia in the Round of 32, Portugal now meets Spain, where it might take a perfect match to move on.
Matchup Information – Portugal vs. Spain – July 6
- Venue & Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)
- Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
- Kick Off: 3:00 p.m. Eastern
- Broadcast: FOX/Peacock
Portugal vs. Spain Betting Odds
Odds are courtesy of our friends at Lucky Rebel Sportsbook, as of July 6, 2026, at 10:25 a.m. eastern. Sign up today and get a $1,250 deposit bonus as well as 50 slot spins immediately in your account and start betting at the sportsbook with the most competitive odds in the industry, and a wide variety of unique markets not offered anywhere else.
Moneyline
- Portugal +300
- Draw +255
- Spain -110
To Advance
- Portugal +190
- Spain -230
Spread
- Portugal +0.5 (-105)
- Spain -0.5 (-115)
Total
- Over 2.5 (-125)
- Under 2.5 (+105)
Portugal vs. Spain FIFA World Cup Picks
Mikel Oyarzabal has been Spain's top goal scorer so far this tournament
Best Bet: Spain ML/Under 4.5 (+129) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
I am confident Spain gets the job done in 90 minutes in this match, but I'll get a little greedy. The moneyline is certainly playable at -110, but I'll add an inflated under to get a plus sign. If you want, you can take this same game parlay down to 3.5 for +176, which I also endorse. However, I'll take this extra cushion in case we see a 3-1 Spanish victory.
I have very little faith in Portugal, but have they given me any reason to trust them? They drew with Congo (yikes), beat up Uzbekistan (yawn), drew with Colombia (but were dominated), and finally needed a comeback victory and the help of questionable VAR to beat Croatia, in a game where the Eastern Europeans won on paper. I simply don't see this team being able to net any against Spain, let alone enough to win this match.
Ultimately, I think this is going to be a relatively low scoring match, where two goals from Spain should be enough to win and move on.
Prediction: Spain Wins 2-1 (+725)
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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